wolf19831029 发表于 2010-1-29 23:15:07

[原创]20100126投资笔记(执行的纪律最重要)

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<p><strong><font size="4">截止今日<font face="Times New="New"Roman">,A</font>股从元旦后开始<font face="Times New="New"Roman">,</font>股市动荡加大<font face="Times New="New"Roman">,</font>股市走得都有点看不懂了<font face="Times New="New"Roman">,</font>走势相当诡异<font face="Times New="New"Roman">!</font></font></strong></p>
<p><font size="4" face="Times New="New"Roman"><strong>&nbsp;</strong></font></p>
<p><strong><font size="4">我推测很多人去年的收成大半又吐回去<font face="Times New="New"Roman">.</font>特别是新手<font face="Times New="New"Roman">,</font>么有什么所谓的风险概念<font face="Times New="New"Roman">.</font>我身边就不乏这样的例子<font face="Times New="New"Roman">,</font>明明告诉他买了盈利了<font face="Times New="New"Roman">,</font>不要瞎买<font face="Times New="New"Roman">,</font>可是他就是管不住自己的手<font face="Times New="New"Roman">,</font>非要买了股票才安心<font face="Times New="New"Roman">,</font>今天告诉我<font face="Times New="New"Roman">,</font>我的预言都应验了<font face="Times New="New"Roman">,</font>从哪里来的还回还到那里去<font face="Times New="New"Roman">,</font>并且自己还会脱层皮<font face="Times New="New"Roman">.</font></font></strong></p>
<p><font size="4" face="Times New="New"Roman"><strong>&nbsp;</strong></font></p>
<p><strong><font size="4">资本市场是以逐利为第一目的<font face="Times New="New"Roman">,</font>而我们小散要想在虎口夺食<font face="Times New="New"Roman">,</font>除了要过人的胆识之外<font face="Times New="New"Roman">,</font>更要有本事应对各种突发的风险<font face="Times New="New"Roman">.</font>时时刻刻将风险控制放到第一位<font face="Times New="New"Roman">.</font></font></strong></p>
<p><font size="4" face="Times New="New"Roman"><strong>&nbsp;</strong></font></p>
<p><strong><font size="4">股市不是提款机<font face="Times New="New"Roman">,</font>在这里是一个人性的大考场<font face="Times New="New"Roman">,</font>无论你是多么厉害的人物<font face="Times New="New"Roman">,</font>在这里只有输和赢<font face="Times New="New"Roman">.</font></font></strong></p>
<p><font size="4" face="Times New="New"Roman"><strong>&nbsp;</strong></font></p>
<p><strong><font size="4">在二十一号大跌的时候<font face="Times New="New"Roman">,</font>也是当时有套调整印花税传闻的时候<font face="Times New="New"Roman">,</font>我果断将自己的仓位降到了<font face="Times New="New"Roman">3</font>分仓<font face="Times New="New"Roman">,</font>当时的想法是自己看不懂就不走了<font face="Times New="New"Roman">,</font>算是到今天来看<font face="Times New="New"Roman">,</font>自己现在手上就<font face="Times New="New"Roman">1.5</font>分仓位<font face="Times New="New"Roman">.</font>算是保住了去年的利润<font face="Times New="New"Roman">,</font>保住了一月份的少部分利润<font face="Times New="New"Roman">.</font></font></strong></p>
<p><font size="4" face="Times New="New"Roman"><strong>&nbsp;</strong></font></p>
<p><strong><font size="4">因为一些其他原因<font face="Times New="New"Roman">,</font>心情不是太好<font face="Times New="New"Roman">,</font>我也没有管几个朋友的股票情况<font face="Times New="New"Roman">,</font>估计都亏了不少<font face="Times New="New"Roman">.</font></font></strong></p>
<p><strong><font size="4">心里真有点过意不去<font face="Times New="New"Roman">,</font>如果他们能从这次的亏损中吸取教训<font face="Times New="New"Roman">,</font>积累了经验<font face="Times New="New"Roman">,</font>也算是一种经历<font face="Times New="New"Roman">,</font>现在的小亏还好<font face="Times New="New"Roman">,</font>毕竟资金量不是很大<font face="Times New="New"Roman">,</font>现在的小亏比以后的大亏好<font face="Times New="New"Roman">,</font>我们的经验就是在这样一次次的亏损中获得的<font face="Times New="New"Roman">,</font>也是我地一句名言<font face="Times New="New"Roman">"</font>在战争中学习战争<font face="Times New="New"Roman">,</font>在亏损中学习经验<font face="Times New="New"Roman">”.</font></font></strong></p>
<p><font size="4" face="Times New="New"Roman"><strong>&nbsp;</strong></font></p>
<p><strong><font size="4">谈到自己<font face="Times New="New"Roman">,</font>我是从<font face="Times New="New"Roman">07</font>年至今经历了<font face="Times New="New"Roman">N</font>回这样的状况<font face="Times New="New"Roman">,</font>自己还是难以战胜自己<font face="Times New="New"Roman">.</font>股票最后玩的不是技术了<font face="Times New="New"Roman">,</font>玩的是修炼自己的境界<font face="Times New="New"Roman">,</font>修炼的是自己的心态<font face="Times New="New"Roman">.</font>我的每一个股票买的时候都是能挣钱<font face="Times New="New"Roman">,</font>但是<font face="Times New="New"Roman">N+1</font>次却似乎以亏损出局<font face="Times New="New"Roman">,</font>而且这样的历史一直在重复<font face="Times New="New"Roman">,</font>但是不想让他以后永远的重复<font face="Times New="New"Roman">.</font>这次我的亏损也不例外<font face="Times New="New"Roman">,</font>还是自己抱有侥幸的心理<font face="Times New="New"Roman">,</font>执行我的交易系统不够果断<font face="Times New="New"Roman">,</font>其实可以说是完全没有执行<font face="Times New="New"Roman">,</font>才导致这样亏的后果<font face="Times New="New"Roman">,</font>虽说亏损不多<font face="Times New="New"Roman">,</font>但是自己又同一次掉到这个坑里头<font face="Times New="New"Roman">,</font>不得检讨自己<font face="Times New="New"Roman">.</font>人只有在不停的总结中沉淀自己<font face="Times New="New"Roman">,</font>才会获得进步<font face="Times New="New"Roman">.</font></font></strong></p>
<p><font size="4" face="Times New="New"Roman"><strong>&nbsp;</strong></font></p>
<p><strong><font size="4"><font face="Times New="New"Roman">&nbsp;</font>我必须深刻检讨自己的交易<font face="Times New="New"Roman">,</font>好好的反省自己的行为<font face="Times New="New"Roman">.</font></font></strong></p>
<p><font size="4" face="Times New="New"Roman"><strong>&nbsp;</strong></font></p>
<p><strong><font size="4">亏损我可以接受<font face="Times New="New"Roman">,</font>但是没有获得经验上或者是交易上的提高我就不能接受<font face="Times New="New"Roman">.</font>因为这样的动荡在将来还将一直持续的重演<font face="Times New="New"Roman">,</font>但是自己不能持续的再犯错误<font face="Times New="New"Roman">,</font>我可以用自己心情不好没有关注来自我安慰<font face="Times New="New"Roman">,</font>但是一点点效果都没有<font face="Times New="New"Roman">,</font>只有好好的总结了<font face="Times New="New"Roman">,</font>那个亏损才算是值得的<font face="Times New="New"Roman">.</font></font></strong></p>
<p><font size="4" face="Times New="New"Roman"><strong>&nbsp;</strong></font></p>
<p><strong><font size="4">经验如下</font></strong></p>
<p><font size="4" face="Times New="New"Roman"><strong>&nbsp;</strong></font></p>
<p><strong><font size="4"><font face="Times New="New"Roman">1.</font>知行合一<font face="Times New="New"Roman">.</font>执行的纪律比正确的策略更重要<font face="Times New="New"Roman">.</font></font></strong></p>
<p><strong><font size="4">别人都说知易行难<font face="Times New="New"Roman">,</font>这样也对<font face="Times New="New"Roman">,</font>更准确的说是知难<font face="Times New="New"Roman">,</font>行更难<font face="Times New="New"Roman">.</font></font></strong></p>
<p><strong><font size="4">我们经常给自己设定一个一个的目标<font face="Times New="New"Roman">,</font>一个一个愿望<font face="Times New="New"Roman">,</font>但是我们每次都是带着美好的憧憬<font face="Times New="New"Roman">,</font>却没有用行动去诠释我们的梦想目标<font face="Times New="New"Roman">,</font>没有执行<font face="Times New="New"Roman">,</font>一切都是空谈<font face="Times New="New"Roman">.</font></font></strong></p>
<p><strong><font size="4">定的再好的策略<font face="Times New="New"Roman">,</font>如果没有去认真的执行<font face="Times New="New"Roman">,</font>其实一点点的效果都没有<font face="Times New="New"Roman">.</font></font></strong></p>
<p><strong><font size="4">每次都是事后的诸葛亮<font face="Times New="New"Roman">,</font>怕大腿后悔自己为什么当时都判断对了<font face="Times New="New"Roman">,</font>可是没有执行呢<font face="Times New="New"Roman">?</font>归根结底还是自己的侥幸心理作怪<font face="Times New="New"Roman">,</font>再剖析一下就是我们的贪念在作怪<font face="Times New="New"Roman">,</font>涨了还想再涨<font face="Times New="New"Roman">,</font>跌了他会涨回来<font face="Times New="New"Roman">,</font>但是股市就是不以人的意志为转移<font face="Times New="New"Roman">,</font>为什么都是<font face="Times New="New"Roman">10</font>玩<font face="Times New="New"Roman">7</font>赔<font face="Times New="New"Roman">2</font>平<font face="Times New="New"Roman">1</font>赚<font face="Times New="New"Roman">,</font>就是我们无法克服我们的欲望<font face="Times New="New"Roman">,</font>不能战胜自己<font face="Times New="New"Roman">.</font></font></strong></p>
<p><font size="4" face="Times New="New"Roman"><strong>&nbsp;</strong></font></p>
<p><strong><font size="4">这次的我也不例外<font face="Times New="New"Roman">,</font>又掉到这样一个圈子里头<font face="Times New="New"Roman">,</font>老是想着我的仓位这么低<font face="Times New="New"Roman">,</font>么有关系<font face="Times New="New"Roman">,</font>最后由小亏变大亏<font face="Times New="New"Roman">.</font>真该挨板子<font face="Times New="New"Roman">,</font>老是不长记性<font face="Times New="New"Roman">.&nbsp; </font></font></strong></p>
<p><font size="4" face="Times New="New"Roman"><strong>&nbsp;</strong></font></p>
<p><strong><font size="4"><font face="Times New="New"Roman">2.</font>股票在相对高位的时候<font face="Times New="New"Roman">,</font>如果出现较大幅度的振幅<font face="Times New="New"Roman">,</font>跌了<font face="Times New="New"Roman">5%</font>的时候<font face="Times New="New"Roman">,</font>并且是配合了量能的放大<font face="Times New="New"Roman">,</font>此时有可能是主力的筹码松动或者是出货<font face="Times New="New"Roman">,</font>此时风险让你亏损的几率比你获益的几率小<font face="Times New="New"Roman">,</font>一定要处理股票<font face="Times New="New"Roman">,</font>至少是要减仓<font face="Times New="New"Roman">.</font></font></strong></p>
<p><font size="4" face="Times New="New"Roman"><strong>&nbsp;</strong></font></p>
<p><strong><font size="4"><font face="Times New="New"Roman">3. </font>学会空仓</font></strong></p>
<p><strong><font size="4">股市看不懂的时候<font face="Times New="New"Roman">,</font>就最好不做<font face="Times New="New"Roman">.</font></font></strong></p>
<p><strong><font size="4">多做多错<font face="Times New="New"Roman">,</font>少做少错<font face="Times New="New"Roman">,</font>不做不错<font face="Times New="New"Roman">.</font></font></strong></p>
<p><strong><font size="4">空仓是一种策略<font face="Times New="New"Roman">,</font>更是一种境界<font face="Times New="New"Roman">.</font></font></strong></p>
<p><strong><font size="4">大自然的肉食动物大部分都是大部分时间静止吃那些活蹦乱跳的食草动物<font face="Times New="New"Roman">,</font>这个故事里头<font face="Times New="New"Roman">,</font>我看到的是等待的智慧<font face="Times New="New"Roman">.</font>等待机会降临<font face="Times New="New"Roman">.</font></font></strong></p>
<p><font size="4" face="Times New="New"Roman"><strong>&nbsp;</strong></font></p>
<p><strong><font size="4"><font face="Times New="New"Roman">4.</font>止损保住本金是比盈利更重要<font face="Times New="New"Roman">.</font></font></strong></p>
<p><strong><font size="4">要想学会盈利<font face="Times New="New"Roman">,</font>首先的学会保证自己的本金不亏<font face="Times New="New"Roman">.</font>如果连本金都保不住<font face="Times New="New"Roman">,</font>谈什么盈利呢<font face="Times New="New"Roman">! </font></font></strong></p>
<p><strong><font size="4">本金就是我们的雪球<font face="Times New="New"Roman">,</font>就是我们的种子<font face="Times New="New"Roman">,</font>有这个我们能滚成更大的雪球<font face="Times New="New"Roman">,</font>我们的种子在时间的催化剂作用下<font face="Times New="New"Roman">,</font>才能长成茁壮的植物<font face="Times New="New"Roman">.</font></font></strong></p>
<p><strong><font size="4">止损不是盲目的止损<font face="Times New="New"Roman">,</font>而应该是有选择的止损<font face="Times New="New"Roman">,</font>我们不是为了止损而交易<font face="Times New="New"Roman">,</font>止损只是我们保证我们不大亏的工具<font face="Times New="New"Roman">.</font></font></strong></p>
<p><font size="4" face="Times New="New"Roman"><strong>&nbsp;</strong></font></p>
<p><strong><font size="4"><font face="Times New="New"Roman">5. </font>分批建仓</font></strong></p>
<p><strong><font size="4"><font face="Times New="New"Roman">&nbsp; </font>这次我选择的智能电网板块<font face="Times New="New"Roman">,</font>金智科技<font face="Times New="New"Roman">,</font>虽然看好<font face="Times New="New"Roman">,</font>但是我谨记自己在上次的新疆城建上犯的错误<font face="Times New="New"Roman">,</font>采用分批建仓的策略<font face="Times New="New"Roman">,</font>先建立头寸<font face="Times New="New"Roman">1</font>手<font face="Times New="New"Roman">,</font>设定的是短线交易<font face="Times New="New"Roman">,</font>刚好碰到行情不好<font face="Times New="New"Roman">,</font>亏了<font face="Times New="New"Roman">5%,</font>我就及时斩仓<font face="Times New="New"Roman">,</font>如果不这样<font face="Times New="New"Roman">,</font>我估计会亏很多<font face="Times New="New"Roman">,</font>虽然是亏<font face="Times New="New"Roman">5%</font>个点<font face="Times New="New"Roman">,</font>但是我觉得值得<font face="Times New="New"Roman">,</font>让我更能体会分批建仓的重要性<font face="Times New="New"Roman">.</font></font></strong></p>
<p><font size="4" face="Times New="New"Roman"><strong>&nbsp;</strong></font></p>
<p><strong><font size="4">总之<font face="Times New="New"Roman">,</font>股市里头天天有机会<font face="Times New="New"Roman">,</font>就怕等到机会来临的时候<font face="Times New="New"Roman">,</font>你手上全是满手亏损的股票<font face="Times New="New"Roman">,</font>而没有现金去利用这次机会<font face="Times New="New"Roman">.</font></font></strong></p>
<p><strong><font size="4"><font face="Times New="New"Roman">&nbsp;</font>我们要既要知<font face="Times New="New"Roman">,</font>也要行<font face="Times New="New"Roman">,</font>行比知更难<font face="Times New="New"Roman">,</font></font></strong></p>
<p><strong><font size="4"><font face="Times New="New"Roman">&nbsp;</font>我们不要与趋势为敌<font face="Times New="New"Roman">,</font>当趋势变坏的时候<font face="Times New="New"Roman">,</font>我们的选择应该是退出不玩<font face="Times New="New"Roman">.</font>等到机会来临时再玩<font face="Times New="New"Roman">.</font></font></strong></p>
<p><strong><font size="4"><font face="Times New="New"Roman">&nbsp;</font>执行<font face="Times New="New"Roman">,</font>执行<font face="Times New="New"Roman">,</font>自己的策略一定要执行<font face="Times New="New"Roman">,</font>执行错误也要执行<font face="Times New="New"Roman">.</font>如果执行了<font face="Times New="New"Roman">,</font>是对的<font face="Times New="New"Roman">,</font>我将截断损失<font face="Times New="New"Roman">,</font>如果我是错的执行了<font face="Times New="New"Roman">,</font>我损失的也是部分的利润<font face="Times New="New"Roman">!</font></font></strong></p>
<p><strong><font size="4">保住本金最重要</font></strong></p>
<p><strong><font size="4"></font></strong></p></div>
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