[转帖]【金市达人】加拿大央行被迫按兵不动
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New="New"Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New="New"Roman'">黄金在昨日大幅回落，延续了跌势，自上周四以来的四个交易日内，黄金从历史高点滑落近</span><span lang="EN-US">100</span><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New="New"Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New="New"Roman'">美元，</span><span lang="EN-US">61.8</span><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New="New"Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New="New"Roman'">％回调位在昨日并没有提供支撑，金价的回落在</span><span lang="EN-US">1100</span><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New="New"Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New="New"Roman'">美元上方已经不存在明显的支撑。此轮下跌是阶段性的回调还是趋势的翻转是投资者关注的焦点，笔者认为目前的价格下，仍然具备做空的空间，短线沽空是今晚操作的首选。</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span lang="EN-US"> </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span lang="EN-US"> </span><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New="New"Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New="New"Roman'">昨日的基本面较为平静，非农过后的美国方面会进入一段时间的平静期，最受关注的数据是加拿大央行的利率决议。周二加拿大央行宣布继续将基准利率维持在</span><span lang="EN-US">0.25%</span><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New="New"Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New="New"Roman'">的历史最低位，并再次重申在通胀前景未发生改变的情况下会将此利率政策一直维持至</span><span lang="EN-US">2010</span><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New="New"Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New="New"Roman'">年第二季度末。今年</span><span lang="EN-US">4</span><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New="New"Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New="New"Roman'">月，加央行将基准利率调低至</span><span lang="EN-US">0.25%</span><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New="New"Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New="New"Roman'">的历史最低位，此后一直将其维持在这一水平。作为美国的近邻，加拿大央行的货币政策很大程度上受到美国利率的牵制，近期加元兑美元的不断升值对加拿大的经济发展有一定的负面作用，同样面临失业问题的加拿大同样需要宽松的货币政策来带动经济。加拿大央行相比美联储的“较长时间”公布了一个具体的数字，这意味着美国很可能会在明年</span><span lang="EN-US">2</span><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New="New"Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New="New"Roman'">季度或者</span><span lang="EN-US">3</span><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New="New"Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New="New"Roman'">季度宣布加息，加拿大央行的举措将会起到稳定加元走势的效果，大部分国家利率按兵不动的原因都与美元的走低具有很大关系，全球经济一体化的今天，美国不动，谁也别想动。</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span lang="EN-US"> </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span lang="EN-US"> </span><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New="New"Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New="New"Roman'">美国联邦储备委员会</span><span lang="EN-US">7</span><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New="New"Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New="New"Roman'">日发布的数据显示，</span><span lang="EN-US">10</span><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New="New"Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New="New"Roman'">月份美国消费信贷按年率计算下降</span><span lang="EN-US">35.1</span><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New="New"Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New="New"Roman'">亿美元，降幅为</span><span lang="EN-US">1.7%</span><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New="New"Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New="New"Roman'">，这是连续第九个月下降，但降幅小于经济学家的预测。失业与次贷危机的惨痛教训都让美国人学得更谨慎了，储蓄代替了负债，在这样一个转换中肯定会出现目前的镇痛期，而通货紧缩与加速失业的潜在威胁就要看美联储如何处理了。黄金在这个时期可以与储蓄看成是一体的，储蓄增加意味着投资者对黄金投资的兴趣增加，黄金的实物需求正是来源于此。</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span lang="EN-US"> </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span lang="EN-US"> </span><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New="New"Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New="New"Roman'">数据提示：</span><span lang="EN-US">17</span><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New="New"Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New="New"Roman'">点</span><span lang="EN-US">30</span><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New="New"Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New="New"Roman'">分英国公布贸易帐总额，</span><span lang="EN-US">BRC</span><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New="New"Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New="New"Roman'">商店物价指数，</span><span lang="EN-US">23</span><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New="New"Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New="New"Roman'">点美国发布批发库存与销售情况，</span><span lang="EN-US">23</span><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New="New"Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New="New"Roman'">点</span><span lang="EN-US">30</span><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New="New"Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New="New"Roman'">分发布上周</span><span lang="EN-US">EIA</span><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New="New"Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New="New"Roman'">原有库存情况。</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span lang="EN-US"> </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span lang="EN-US"> </span><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New="New"Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New="New"Roman'">操作建议：晚盘中可以等待</span><span lang="EN-US">1135</span><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New="New"Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New="New"Roman'">附近做空，止损</span><span lang="EN-US">1142</span><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New="New"Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New="New"Roman'">美元，目标</span><span lang="EN-US">1120</span><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New="New"Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New="New"Roman'">美元下方。市场阴晴不定，波幅较大，近期操作应注意严格止损。</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; COLOR: #333333; FONT-SIZE: 11.5pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt" lang="EN-US"> </span><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New="New"Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New="New"Roman'">成为我们的客户，可获更多即时建议，在线指导 </span><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New="New"Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New="New"Roman'">北方金银业诚邀您成为伦敦金代理</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span lang="EN-US"><?xml:namespace prefix = o ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:office" /><o:p> </o:p></span></p> <p>今天晚上能够突破1148看多！跌破1128看空！黄金</p>
页:
[1]