[转帖]【金市达人】迪拜危机再现，黄金摇摆不定
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New="New"Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New="New"Roman'">现货黄金昨日的低点</span><span lang="EN-US">1134.95</span><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New="New"Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New="New"Roman'">美元创造了本轮回落的新低，但晚盘随着美元指数的回落有所反弹，并回补了跳空区间，最终收盘</span><span lang="EN-US">1158.50</span><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New="New"Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New="New"Roman'">美元，昨日的行情是由美联储主席伯南克的讲话牵动的，其对于经济的悲观论调和关于加息的言论让迪拜事件渐渐平息的市场重新紧张了起来，而迪拜诞生的新风险同样值得关注。</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span lang="EN-US"> </span><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New="New"Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New="New"Roman'">伯南克在向华盛顿经济俱乐部发表的演讲中称：“美国经济正面临着一些难以应付的逆风，很可能将维持温和的经济增长速度。虽然金融状况从整体上来看已经有所改善，但对许多借款人来说，信贷状况仍旧紧缩”，且就业市场“仍旧疲软”。伯南克同时表示，美联储拥有将物价上涨速度维持在可控制范围以内的必要工具和义务，并表示通胀水平可能进一步下降。伯南克在演讲结束后回答问题时重申了美联储此前的声明，即基准利率很可能在“长时间里”维持在极低水平。伯南克的言论中提到通胀并不会扩大，是在可控制范围内的，但随后强调了美联储长时间内不会加息，显然利率并不是用来控制的工具。那么就只能从通胀自身产生的基底来看了，经济恢复的放缓将会对市场需求有很大的影响，同时美国财政部官员表示目前救市资金的回收速度快于预期，这也减少了通胀的预期。关于通胀的言论对于金价是利空的作用，随后美元低利率的维持言论又打压了美元指数，目前来看，黄金基本面并不明确，投资者最好采取观望的态度。</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span lang="EN-US"> </span><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New="New"Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New="New"Roman'">美股昨日同样受到了伯南克讲话的影响，尾盘阶段出现了较大的回落，道琼斯工业平均指数上涨了</span><span lang="EN-US">1.21</span><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New="New"Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New="New"Roman'">点，报收</span><span lang="EN-US">10390.11</span><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New="New"Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New="New"Roman'">点，涨幅为</span><span lang="EN-US">0.01%</span><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New="New"Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New="New"Roman'">；纳斯达克综合指数下跌了</span><span lang="EN-US">4.74</span><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New="New"Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New="New"Roman'">点，报收</span><span lang="EN-US">2189.61</span><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New="New"Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New="New"Roman'">点，跌幅为</span><span lang="EN-US">0.22%</span><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New="New"Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New="New"Roman'">；标准普尔</span><span lang="EN-US">500</span><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New="New"Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New="New"Roman'">指数下跌了</span><span lang="EN-US">2.73</span><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New="New"Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New="New"Roman'">点，报收</span><span lang="EN-US">1103.25</span><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New="New"Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New="New"Roman'">点，跌幅为</span><span lang="EN-US">0.25%</span><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New="New"Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New="New"Roman'">。</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span lang="EN-US"> </span><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New="New"Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New="New"Roman'">数据提示：北京时间</span><span lang="EN-US">17</span><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New="New"Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New="New"Roman'">点</span><span lang="EN-US">30</span><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New="New"Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New="New"Roman'">分英国发布制造业生产月率与年率，工业生产月率与年率，</span><span lang="EN-US">19</span><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New="New"Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New="New"Roman'">点德国发布工业生产情况，</span><span lang="EN-US">21</span><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New="New"Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New="New"Roman'">点</span><span lang="EN-US">15</span><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New="New"Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New="New"Roman'">分加拿大发布新屋开工数据，</span><span lang="EN-US">22</span><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New="New"Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New="New"Roman'">点加拿大公布利率决议，</span><span lang="EN-US">23</span><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New="New"Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New="New"Roman'">点美国发布</span><span lang="EN-US">IBD</span><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New="New"Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New="New"Roman'">消费者信心指数。</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span lang="EN-US"> </span><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New="New"Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New="New"Roman'">操作建议：</span><span lang="EN-US">1170</span><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New="New"Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New="New"Roman'">美元短线沽空，止损</span><span lang="EN-US">1176</span><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New="New"Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New="New"Roman'">美元，</span><span lang="EN-US">1156</span><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New="New"Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New="New"Roman'">美元做多，止损</span><span lang="EN-US">1150</span><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New="New"Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New="New"Roman'">美元，区间买卖。市场阴晴不定，波幅较大，近期操作应注意严格止损。</span></p>
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