CNII2009 发表于 2009-12-2 20:51:24

[转帖]【金市达人】美元选择性失明,黄金借势上涨

 
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New="New"Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New="New"Roman'">中东地区的问题并没有继续恶化的迹象,昨日市场关注的焦点已经离开了迪拜,澳大利亚联储宣布上调基准利率</span><span lang="EN-US">25</span><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New="New"Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New="New"Roman'">个基点至</span><span lang="EN-US">3.75%</span><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New="New"Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New="New"Roman'">,这是澳联储在年内第三次加息,澳元兑美元在加息的决定公布后开始下跌了数十个基点,不过随后大幅拉升。美元指数收盘</span><span lang="EN-US">74.33</span><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New="New"Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New="New"Roman'">点,最低</span><span lang="EN-US">74.23</span><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New="New"Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New="New"Roman'">点,走低的美元带动了黄金的大涨,现货黄金价格最高突破</span><span lang="EN-US">1200</span><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New="New"Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New="New"Roman'">美元,收盘</span><span lang="EN-US">1196.60</span><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New="New"Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New="New"Roman'">美元,短暂调整之后黄金又开始了创造历史新高的上涨。</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span lang="EN-US">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; </span><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New="New"Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New="New"Roman'">美元指数昨日的基本面并不是完全利空的,日本中央银行——日本银行</span><span lang="EN-US">2</span><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New="New"Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New="New"Roman'">日上午宣布,当天将通过在短期金融市场的公开市场操作,向市场注资</span><span lang="EN-US">1</span><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New="New"Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New="New"Roman'">万亿日元</span><span lang="EN-US">(</span><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New="New"Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New="New"Roman'">约合</span><span lang="EN-US">115</span><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New="New"Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New="New"Roman'">亿美元</span><span lang="EN-US">)</span><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New="New"Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New="New"Roman'">。因担心迪拜债务风波及日元突然加速升值殃及日本实体经济的复苏,日本央行</span><span lang="EN-US">1</span><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New="New"Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New="New"Roman'">日临时召开货币政策会议,推出了被行长白川方明称为“广义的量化宽松政策”的新政。会议一致决定,向市场提供总额达</span><span lang="EN-US">10</span><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New="New"Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New="New"Roman'">万亿日元、为期</span><span lang="EN-US">3</span><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New="New"Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New="New"Roman'">个月、年利率为</span><span lang="EN-US">0.1%</span><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New="New"Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New="New"Roman'">的短期资金。央行推出的这一新政得到了政府的高度评价。这对于近期美元兑日元不断走低是很好的抑制,但市场仍然将对美元有利空作用的澳洲加息摆在了首位,选择性的利用基本面信息。欧元区近期发布的数据显示,经季节调整后欧元区</span><span lang="EN-US">10</span><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New="New"Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New="New"Roman'">月份失业率仍高居</span><span lang="EN-US">9.8%</span><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New="New"Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New="New"Roman'">的水平,与</span><span lang="EN-US">9</span><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New="New"Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New="New"Roman'">月份持平,为</span><span lang="EN-US">1998</span><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New="New"Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New="New"Roman'">年</span><span lang="EN-US">12</span><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New="New"Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New="New"Roman'">月以来最高水平。欧元同样受到打压,市场同样选择视而不见,美元头也不回的持续向下。黄金今日亚洲盘走势十分强劲,投资者应在做多时采取短线思路,避免回调风险。</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New="New"Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New="New"Roman'">操作建议:任意价位均可短多,止损</span><span lang="EN-US">3</span><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New="New"Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New="New"Roman'">美元,黄金疯了,我们就要用疯子的方式来操作。</span></p>
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