CNII2009 发表于 2009-11-30 18:06:49

[转帖]迪拜问题渐成过去式,黄金本周面临选择

 
<p style="TEXT-ALIGN: left; LINE-HEIGHT: 22.5pt; mso-pagination: widow-orphan; mso-margin-top-alt: auto; mso-margin-bottom-alt: auto" class="MsoNormal" align="left"><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; COLOR: #333333; FONT-SIZE: 11.5pt; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体">上周五现货黄金大幅震荡,单日高点与低点相差<span lang="EN-US">53.80</span>美元,盘中一轮<span lang="EN-US">50</span>美元的重挫是近期内黄金出现的最强烈的一波回落,中东市场的恐慌引起了黄金市场中投资者大量的抛售,原油及美股均出现了大幅回调。亚欧盘的爆发的大行情可以十分确定是由迪拜债务危机所引起的,虽然晚盘价格有所反弹,但整体上涨格局被打破,重新整理修复还是顺势下跌将由本周黄金的走势所决定。<span lang="EN-US"><?xml:namespace prefix = o ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:office" /><o:p></o:p></span></span></p>
<p style="TEXT-ALIGN: left; LINE-HEIGHT: 22.5pt; mso-pagination: widow-orphan; mso-margin-top-alt: auto; mso-margin-bottom-alt: auto" class="MsoNormal" align="left"><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; COLOR: #333333; FONT-SIZE: 11.5pt; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体" lang="EN-US">&nbsp;&nbsp; </span><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; COLOR: #333333; FONT-SIZE: 11.5pt; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体">迪拜债务问题最大受害者无疑是全球股市,欧洲市场全面,其中英国<span lang="EN-US">FTSE 100</span>指数收盘下跌<span lang="EN-US">170.68</span>点,报<span lang="EN-US">5194.13</span>点,跌幅<span lang="EN-US">3.2%</span>;德国<span lang="EN-US">DAX</span>基准股指下跌<span lang="EN-US">188.85</span>点,报收于<span lang="EN-US">5614.17</span>点,跌幅<span lang="EN-US">3.2%</span>;法国<span lang="EN-US">CAC-40</span>指数下跌<span lang="EN-US">129.93</span>点,报收于<span lang="EN-US">3679.23</span>点,跌幅<span lang="EN-US">3.4%</span>。道琼斯工业股票平均价格指数收盘下跌<span lang="EN-US">154.48</span>点,至<span lang="EN-US">10309.92</span>点,跌幅<span lang="EN-US">1.48%</span>,从周三触及的<span lang="EN-US">13</span>个月收盘高点回落,并创下<?xml:namespace prefix = st1 ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:smarttags" /><st1:chsdate w:st="on" isrocdate="False" islunardate="False" day="30" month="10" year="2009"><span lang="EN-US">10</span>月<span lang="EN-US">30</span>日</st1:chsdate>以来最大单日跌幅。银行股的跌幅是各类板块中最大的,投资者对银行业潜在的违约风险十分担忧,而股指中比重极大的银行类股票直接造成了指数的低迷。对于迪拜债务问题带来的影响,迪拜领导人日前与阿布扎比领导人举行会晤,以寻求后者提供帮助。另据报道,阿联酋中央银行目前正在密切关注危机引起的连锁反应,以确保整体经济不会受损。目前市场在反弹后基本上客观的反映了问题带来的影响,题材作用已经渐渐减小,但短时间大跌<span lang="EN-US">50</span>美元给市场中多空比例带来了一定的变化,笔者认为目前金价转头向下的机会要打过继续冲高。<span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></span></p>
<p style="TEXT-ALIGN: left; LINE-HEIGHT: 22.5pt; mso-pagination: widow-orphan; mso-margin-top-alt: auto; mso-margin-bottom-alt: auto" class="MsoNormal" align="left"><b><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; COLOR: #333333; FONT-SIZE: 11.5pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 12.0pt; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体" lang="EN-US">&nbsp;&nbsp; </span></b><b><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; COLOR: #333333; FONT-SIZE: 11.5pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 12.0pt; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体">操作建议:<span lang="EN-US">1180</span>美元做空,止损<span lang="EN-US">1190</span>美元,目标<span lang="EN-US">1164</span>美元,到达目标价位可放低止损继续持有,不建议反手做多。</span></b><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; COLOR: #333333; FONT-SIZE: 11.5pt; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体" lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></p>
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