[转帖]渐渐失宠的黄金与美股
<p class="MsoNormal" style="LINE-HEIGHT: 18.8pt; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-margin-top-alt: auto; mso-margin-bottom-alt: auto; mso-pagination: widow-orphan" align="left"><span style="FONT-SIZE: 9.5pt; COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体">现货黄金昨日继续尝试着向下方的探索，最低<span lang="EN-US">1129.45</span>美元，尾盘反弹至<span lang="EN-US">1143.45</span>美元，多日来金价的震荡方向逐渐转向下跌。从<span lang="EN-US">5</span>日均线被穿透的幅度看，其支撑并不牢靠，上方越发遥远的布林上轨已经失去了指引作用，黄金真正有效的支撑在<span lang="EN-US">10</span>日均线，自月初上攻启动后<span lang="EN-US">10</span>日均线一直稳步跟进上涨，今日将在<span lang="EN-US">1127</span>美元提供支撑。原油期货昨日大幅收低，狭窄的通道完全将原油走势束缚，<span lang="EN-US">77</span>美元<span lang="EN-US">/</span>桶至<span lang="EN-US">80</span>美元<span lang="EN-US">/</span>桶的<span lang="EN-US">3</span>美元是近<span lang="EN-US">1</span>个月内原油的震荡区间，美元指数近期的低迷间接使得原油处于贬值之中，这和实体经济的转好有一定的背离。美元的反弹可以缓解这样的问题，不会因为原油价格的飙升影响实体经济，那么黄金将会受到较大的压力，正是投资者建立空仓的机会。<span lang="EN-US"><?xml:namespace prefix = o ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:office" /><o:p></o:p></span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="LINE-HEIGHT: 18.8pt; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-margin-top-alt: auto; mso-margin-bottom-alt: auto; mso-pagination: widow-orphan" align="left"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 9.5pt; COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体"> </span><span style="FONT-SIZE: 9.5pt; COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体">美国财政部<span lang="EN-US">17</span>日公布的国际资本流动报告<span lang="EN-US">(TIC)</span>显示，截至<span lang="EN-US">9</span>月末中国共持有<span lang="EN-US">7989</span>亿美元美国国债，与<span lang="EN-US">8</span>月份相比增持<span lang="EN-US">18</span>亿美元，仍为美国国债最大的海外持有者。报告还显示，美国国债的第二、第三大海外持有者日本和英国在<span lang="EN-US">9</span>月份里都有较大规模的增持，分别增持<span lang="EN-US">203</span>亿美元和<span lang="EN-US">224</span>亿美元，持有量分别达到<span lang="EN-US">7515</span>亿美元和<span lang="EN-US">2493</span>亿美元。美元指数的反弹，国债的热卖背后是美股中资金的流出，截至收盘，道琼斯工业平均指数下跌了<span lang="EN-US">93.87</span>点，报收<span lang="EN-US">10332.44</span>点，跌幅为<span lang="EN-US">0.90%</span>；纳斯达克综合指数下跌了<span lang="EN-US">36.32</span>点，报收<span lang="EN-US">2156.82</span>点，跌幅为<span lang="EN-US">1.66%</span>；标准普尔<span lang="EN-US">500</span>指数下跌了<span lang="EN-US">14.90</span>点，报收<span lang="EN-US">1094.90</span>点，跌幅为<span lang="EN-US">1.34%</span>。在年底投资者的资金逐渐向安全性较高的投资品种转移，黄金美股等高价品种将会受到影响，过高的涨幅势必影响到投资者的选择。<span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="LINE-HEIGHT: 18.8pt; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-margin-top-alt: auto; mso-margin-bottom-alt: auto; mso-pagination: widow-orphan" align="left"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 9.5pt; COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体"><span style="mso-spacerun: yes"> </span></span><strong><span style="FONT-SIZE: 9.5pt; COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New="New"Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New="New"Roman'">操作建议：与昨日保持同样的思路，</span></strong><strong><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 9.5pt; COLOR: #333333">1150</span></strong><strong><span style="FONT-SIZE: 9.5pt; COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New="New"Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New="New"Roman'">美元做空，止损</span></strong><strong><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 9.5pt; COLOR: #333333">8</span></strong><strong><span style="FONT-SIZE: 9.5pt; COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New="New"Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New="New"Roman'">美元，目标</span></strong><strong><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 9.5pt; COLOR: #333333">1128</span></strong><strong><span style="FONT-SIZE: 9.5pt; COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New="New"Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New="New"Roman'">美元。</span></strong><strong><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 9.5pt; COLOR: #333333"><o:p></o:p></span></strong></p>
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