[转帖]黄金11.13日金评
<p class="MsoNormal" style="LINE-HEIGHT: 18.8pt; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-pagination: widow-orphan; mso-margin-top-alt: auto; mso-margin-bottom-alt: auto" align="left"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 9.5pt; COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体">1</span><span style="FONT-SIZE: 9.5pt; COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体">、 昨日情回顾：黄金昨日开盘<span lang="EN-US">1116.5</span>，最高触及<span lang="EN-US">1122.9</span>，最低触及<span lang="EN-US">1101.6</span>，收于<span lang="EN-US">1102.1</span>；亚盘，黄金开盘后承继隔夜涨势，继续震荡走高，末盘创历史新高后遇阻回落；欧美盘期间，金价延续压盘跌势继续下挫；最终日线在收一带上影线光脚阴线，结束“四连阳”。<span lang="EN-US"><?xml:namespace prefix = o ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:office" /><o:p></o:p></span></span></p>
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<p class="MsoNormal" style="LINE-HEIGHT: 18.8pt; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-pagination: widow-orphan; mso-margin-top-alt: auto; mso-margin-bottom-alt: auto" align="left"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 9.5pt; COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体">2</span><span style="FONT-SIZE: 9.5pt; COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体">、重要基本面：第一、全球财经：欧元区<span lang="EN-US">9</span>月工业产出年率下降<span lang="EN-US">15.1%</span>，预期下降<span lang="EN-US">14.1% </span>；美国<?xml:namespace prefix = st1 ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:smarttags" /><st1:chsdate w:st="on" isrocdate="False" islunardate="False" day="31" month="10" year="2009"><span lang="EN-US">10</span>月<span lang="EN-US">31</span>日</st1:chsdate>当周续请失业金人数<span lang="EN-US">563.1</span>万，预期<span lang="EN-US">570.0</span>万；美国<span lang="EN-US">10</span>月政府预算赤字为<span lang="EN-US">1763.6</span>亿美元 ；外国央行<st1:chsdate w:st="on" isrocdate="False" islunardate="False" day="11" month="11" year="2009"><span lang="EN-US">11</span>月<span lang="EN-US">11</span>日</st1:chsdate>当周持有美国债券减少<span lang="EN-US">12.4</span>亿至<span lang="EN-US">2.916</span>万亿美元李明博：韩国将暂时维持扩张性的政策；第二、主要金融市场：欧美股市周四涨跌现分歧，欧股继续走高，美股则高位回落；外汇市场，美指触底反弹，欧元领跌非美货币；受美指走高和库存数据影响，原油期货价格大幅走低；第三、第三机构与个人：美国总统奥巴马将于<span lang="EN-US">12</span>月举行就业论坛；巴菲特：金融恐慌已过去 美国经济仍举步维艰；欧洲央行德拉基：金融系统需要重大改变；亚太经合组织周四承诺，抵制贸易保护主义，促进可持续发展，并考虑达成地区自由贸易协议。<span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></span></p>
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<p class="MsoNormal" style="LINE-HEIGHT: 18.8pt; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-pagination: widow-orphan; mso-margin-top-alt: auto; mso-margin-bottom-alt: auto" align="left"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 9.5pt; COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体">3</span><span style="FONT-SIZE: 9.5pt; COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体">、市场心态逻辑推理：第一、继<span lang="EN-US">G20</span>、欧元集团财长会议之后，<span lang="EN-US">APEC</span>财长会议揭幕，系列会议释放一个共同信号，政策面上对于未来经济复苏继续保持经济刺激措施保持一致，提振市场对经济复苏的信心；另外一方面，各国政府预算赤字，债台高筑，也令市场担忧；第二、金市方面、昨日金价创历史新高后回调走低，虽然整体市场看多气氛浓厚，技术图形上短期见顶后技术性回调需求明显，临近周末，警惕获利盘抛压风险，短期买盘还并不明显；第三、今日重点关注：<span lang="EN-US">15:00</span>德国第三季度季调后<span lang="EN-US">GDP</span>初值、<span lang="EN-US">15:45</span>法国<span lang="EN-US">10</span>月消费者物价指数、<span lang="EN-US">15:50</span>法国第三季度<span lang="EN-US">GDP</span>初值、<span lang="EN-US">17:00</span>意大利第三季度<span lang="EN-US">GDP</span>初值、<span lang="EN-US">18:00</span>欧元区第三季度<span lang="EN-US">GDP</span>初值、<span lang="EN-US">21:30</span>美国<span lang="EN-US">9</span>月贸易帐、<span lang="EN-US">22:55</span>美国<span lang="EN-US">11</span>月密歇根大学消费者信心指数初值<span lang="EN-US"> <o:p></o:p></span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="LINE-HEIGHT: 18.8pt; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-pagination: widow-orphan; mso-margin-top-alt: auto; mso-margin-bottom-alt: auto" align="left"><b><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 9.5pt; COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 12.0pt">5</span></b><b><span style="FONT-SIZE: 9.5pt; COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 12.0pt">、个人观点：<span lang="EN-US"> </span></span></b><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 9.5pt; COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体"><o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="LINE-HEIGHT: 18.8pt; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-pagination: widow-orphan; mso-margin-top-alt: auto; mso-margin-bottom-alt: auto" align="left"><b><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 9.5pt; COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 12.0pt">1</span></b><b><span style="FONT-SIZE: 9.5pt; COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 12.0pt">、周三、周四<span lang="EN-US">1115</span>上面的空单继续持有，移动止损至<span lang="EN-US">1112</span>上方，中线看<span lang="EN-US">1080</span>附近；</span></b><b><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 9.5pt; COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体"><br/></span></b><b><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 9.5pt; COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 12.0pt">2</span></b><b><span style="FONT-SIZE: 9.5pt; COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 12.0pt">、<span lang="EN-US">1110</span>附近做空，止损<span lang="EN-US">3-5</span>上方，目标：<span lang="EN-US">1105</span>、<span lang="EN-US">1100</span>、<span lang="EN-US">1095</span>；下破<span lang="EN-US">1095</span>中线持有；</span></b><b><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 9.5pt; COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体"><br/></span></b><b><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 9.5pt; COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 12.0pt">3</span></b><b><span style="FONT-SIZE: 9.5pt; COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 12.0pt">、<span lang="EN-US">1090</span>附近短多，止损<span lang="EN-US">3-5</span>美金，目标：<span lang="EN-US">1095</span>、<span lang="EN-US">1100</span>；</span></b><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 9.5pt; COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体"><o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New="New"Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New="New"Roman'">晚间有上攻</span><span lang="EN-US">1114.1117.5</span><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New="New"Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New="New"Roman'">止盈，</span><span lang="EN-US">1117.5</span><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New="New"Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New="New"Roman'">附近空短线，止</span><span lang="EN-US">1120</span><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New="New"Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New="New"Roman'">下看</span><span lang="EN-US">1112</span><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New="New"Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New="New"Roman'">附近止盈</span></p>
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