[转帖]英国经济数据低迷，间接拖累金价震荡
<br/><p class="MsoNormal" style="LINE-HEIGHT: 20.4pt; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-margin-top-alt: auto; mso-margin-bottom-alt: auto; mso-pagination: widow-orphan" align="left"><b><span style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt">全球经济复苏在即 金价本周选择方向</span></b><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt"><br/></span><span style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt">技术分析：<span lang="EN-US"><br/></span>国际现货金日线图显示，黄金自创出新高<span lang="EN-US">1070.40</span>之后已经持续在高位盘整一个周，波动区间也不是很大，那么一旦选择方向将会有较大幅度的波动。<span lang="EN-US">MACD</span>指标绿柱延续并逐渐变长，<span lang="EN-US">DIF</span>向下交叉<span lang="EN-US">DIA</span>；<span lang="EN-US">KDJ</span>指标向下运营；布林上轨保持良好上升趋势。预计金价短期仍将以震荡为主，或许本周将会明确突破方向。阻力：<span lang="EN-US">1065</span>，支撑：<span lang="EN-US">1045<br/></span>操作建议：观望等待，方向明确之后进场<span lang="EN-US"><br/>24</span>小时方向：多空方对抗格局<span lang="EN-US"><br/></span>本周方向：盘整<span lang="EN-US"><br/></span>阻力位：<span lang="EN-US">1065</span>，<span lang="EN-US">1070</span>，<span lang="EN-US">1079<br/></span>支撑位：<span lang="EN-US">1055</span>，<span lang="EN-US">1045<?xml:namespace prefix = o ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:office" /><o:p></o:p></span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="LINE-HEIGHT: 20.4pt; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-margin-top-alt: auto; mso-margin-bottom-alt: auto; mso-pagination: widow-orphan" align="left"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt"> <o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="LINE-HEIGHT: 20.4pt; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-margin-top-alt: auto; mso-margin-bottom-alt: auto; mso-pagination: widow-orphan" align="left"><b><span style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt">黄金面临中级回调概率加大</span></b><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt"><br/></span><span style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt">技术分析：<span lang="EN-US"><br/></span>而本周对黄金和投资市场有重大影响的数据也无疑是周四美国第三季实际<span lang="EN-US">GDP</span>的公布，另外美国新屋销售和挪威央行的利率决定也值得期待。<span lang="EN-US"><br/></span>本周，从技术面分析，黄金面临中级回调的概率加大，个人认为可看空不做空，前期多方持有者不妨在<span lang="EN-US">1058</span>附近获利了解，中线操作机会不多，需等待时机。<span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="LINE-HEIGHT: 20.4pt; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-margin-top-alt: auto; mso-margin-bottom-alt: auto; mso-pagination: widow-orphan" align="left"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt"> <o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="LINE-HEIGHT: 20.4pt; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-margin-top-alt: auto; mso-margin-bottom-alt: auto; mso-pagination: widow-orphan" align="left"><b><span style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt">英国经济数据低迷，间接拖累金价震荡</span></b><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt"><br/></span><span style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt">技术分析：<span lang="EN-US"><br/></span>从技术上看，国际金价在<span lang="EN-US">1050-60</span>区间震荡近两周后，<span lang="EN-US">5</span>日均线下穿<span lang="EN-US">10</span>日均线的形态有确认迹象，如周一金价仍压制与均线下方，黄金价格将回撤至<span lang="EN-US">1020</span>美元一线。美元指数反弹至<span lang="EN-US">10</span>日均线上方，能否站稳<span lang="EN-US">10</span>日均线还需周一晚间确认，不过短期反弹动能正在增强。<span lang="EN-US"> <br/></span>综合来看，美元反弹，商品和股市展开调整也将压制金价。预计金价短期将震荡下行，在<span lang="EN-US">1020</span>美元一线有较强支撑。短期建议短线多头继续观望，中线继续持有多单。<span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="LINE-HEIGHT: 20.4pt; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-margin-top-alt: auto; mso-margin-bottom-alt: auto; mso-pagination: widow-orphan" align="left"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt"> <o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="LINE-HEIGHT: 20.4pt; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-margin-top-alt: auto; mso-margin-bottom-alt: auto; mso-pagination: widow-orphan" align="left"><b><span style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt">金市多空短线决战<span lang="EN-US">1050</span>阵地</span></b><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt"><br/></span><span style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt">技术分析：<span lang="EN-US"><br/></span>现货金价的盘面格局显示，强势格局在延续的同时流露趋弱之势，短线调整或有望延续扩大，技术上存在回撤<span lang="EN-US">932</span>一线的可能，只是日线布林中轨仍在<span lang="EN-US">950</span>附近继续形成短线多空分水岭，无论是为了确认该区域支撑有效，还是为了在跌破后确认破位有效，多空或在盘中继续围绕<span lang="EN-US">950</span>展开博弈。<span lang="EN-US"><br/></span>支撑位：<span lang="EN-US">1050</span>－<span lang="EN-US">1041</span>－<span lang="EN-US">1032<br/></span>阻力位：<span lang="EN-US">1058</span>－<span lang="EN-US">1064</span>－<span lang="EN-US">1070<o:p></o:p></span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="LINE-HEIGHT: 20.4pt; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-margin-top-alt: auto; mso-margin-bottom-alt: auto; mso-pagination: widow-orphan" align="left"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt"> <o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="LINE-HEIGHT: 20.4pt; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-margin-top-alt: auto; mso-margin-bottom-alt: auto; mso-pagination: widow-orphan" align="left"><b><span style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt">美元短线酝酿反弹 金价整体看多氛围不变</span></b><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt"><br/></span><span style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt">技术分析：<span lang="EN-US"><br/></span>从美元指数的日线图上看，自今年<span lang="EN-US">3</span>月份美元指数步入震荡贬值趋势以来，每一波下跌的时间周期大致在<span lang="EN-US">15</span>个交易日左右，随后有数日的反弹行情，但幅度不大；而从<?xml:namespace prefix = st1 ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:smarttags" /><st1:chsdate year="2009" month="10" day="2" islunardate="False" isrocdate="False" w:st="on"><span lang="EN-US">10</span>月<span lang="EN-US">2</span>日</st1:chsdate>的相对高点<span lang="EN-US">77.475</span>到<st1:chsdate year="2009" month="10" day="21" islunardate="False" isrocdate="False" w:st="on"><span lang="EN-US">10</span>月<span lang="EN-US">21</span>日</st1:chsdate>的近期相对低点<span lang="EN-US">74.940</span>中间间隔了恰好<span lang="EN-US">14</span>个交易日，在上周五出现反弹，因此在基本面未发生重大意外的情况下，本周美元可能以逢低反弹为主。<span lang="EN-US"><br/></span>操作建议：整体看多氛围不变，短线可于<span lang="EN-US">1060-1065</span>区域逢高沽空，目标区间<span lang="EN-US">1040-1045</span>，上破<span lang="EN-US">1070</span>止损，中长线投资者可考虑逢低吸纳。<span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></span></p>
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