CNII2009 发表于 2009-10-21 17:00:37

[转帖]黄金回落在即,建议入场做空

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<p class="MsoNormal" style="LINE-HEIGHT: 20.4pt; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-margin-top-alt: auto; mso-margin-bottom-alt: auto; mso-pagination: widow-orphan" align="left"><span style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt">伦敦金昨日出现回落,最低<span lang="EN-US">1051.25</span>美元,收盘<span lang="EN-US">1055.05</span>美元,笔者在周一的分析中提到,原油期货是近期市场中的明星,周一原油期货最高<span lang="EN-US">79.65</span>美元<span lang="EN-US">/</span>桶,价格逼近<span lang="EN-US">80</span>美元的整数关口,在昨日的亚洲盘中,原油期货最高价格已经突破<span lang="EN-US">80</span>美元<span lang="EN-US">/</span>桶,如此的涨幅引起了各方的议论,对于欧佩克利用减产提高价格的言论在市场中蔓延开来,对此欧佩克秘书长巴德里表示,油价持续走高并非供应不足,而主要是投机交易所致,因此欧佩克暂不会采取干预市场或增加原油供应的措施。这样的辟谣并没有起到控制油价的作用,过量的货币供给很容易产生投机,在利率提升以前,投机将会随着信心的恢复越发泛滥,但只要控制得当,在经济恢复的大前提下是可以允许的。黄金在其中并没有扮演重要的角色,仅仅是美元下跌后的正常上涨,当美元有所反弹,黄金的回落将会快速而有力。<span lang="EN-US"><?xml:namespace prefix = o ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:office" /><o:p></o:p></span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="LINE-HEIGHT: 20.4pt; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-margin-top-alt: auto; mso-margin-bottom-alt: auto; mso-pagination: widow-orphan" align="left"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt">&nbsp;&nbsp; </span><span style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt">美国劳工部周二称,经季节性因素调整后,<span lang="EN-US">9</span>月份制成品生产者价格指数<span lang="EN-US">(PPI)</span>环比下降<span lang="EN-US">0.6%</span>,预期为下降<span lang="EN-US">0.2%</span>,而<span lang="EN-US">8</span>月份<span lang="EN-US">PPI</span>为上升<span lang="EN-US">1.7%</span>;<span lang="EN-US">9</span>月份能源价格下跌<span lang="EN-US">2.4%</span>,是<span lang="EN-US">PPI</span>数据弱于预期的主要原因;除去能源和食品的<span lang="EN-US">9</span>月份核心<span lang="EN-US">PPI</span>环比亦下降<span lang="EN-US">0.1%</span>,预期为上升<span lang="EN-US">0.1%</span>。<span lang="EN-US">9</span>月份<span lang="EN-US">PPI</span>较上年同期下降<span lang="EN-US">4.8%</span>。从近期公布的<span lang="EN-US">CPI</span>和<span lang="EN-US">PPI</span>数据来看,当前通胀压力依然较小,而美联储周二公布了<?xml:namespace prefix = st1 ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:smarttags" /><st1:chsdate year="2009" month="9" day="8" islunardate="False" isrocdate="False" w:st="on"><span lang="EN-US">2009</span>年<span lang="EN-US">9</span>月<span lang="EN-US">8</span>日</st1:chsdate>和<span lang="EN-US">21</span>日的贴现利率会议纪要显示,官员们普遍认为通货膨胀受到抑制,而且这一状况可能会持续一段时间。<span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="LINE-HEIGHT: 20.4pt; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-margin-top-alt: auto; mso-margin-bottom-alt: auto; mso-pagination: widow-orphan" align="left"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt">&nbsp;&nbsp; </span><span style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt">数据提示:英国<span lang="EN-US">18</span>点公布<span lang="EN-US">CBI</span>工业趋势调查订单数据,<span lang="EN-US">22</span>点<span lang="EN-US">30</span>分美国公布<span lang="EN-US">EIA</span>原油库存变化。<span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="LINE-HEIGHT: 20.4pt; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-margin-top-alt: auto; mso-margin-bottom-alt: auto; mso-pagination: widow-orphan" align="left"><b><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 12.0pt">&nbsp;&nbsp; </span></b><b><span style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 12.0pt">操作建议:技术图形上看,黄金<span lang="EN-US">4</span>小时内形成了<span lang="EN-US">3</span>次阶段性冲高留下的顶部,金价将会迎来一波较大的回落,初步的目标在<span lang="EN-US">1040</span>美元附近的支撑。今晚可选择<span lang="EN-US">1060</span>美元附近做空,止损<span lang="EN-US">1068</span>美元,目标<span lang="EN-US">1042</span>美元。</span></b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span lang="EN-US"><o:p>&nbsp;</o:p></span></p>

jxwqh 发表于 2009-10-22 14:44:47

<p>&nbsp;不错,建议学习学习</p>
<p>入市须谨慎哦</p>
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