社会现实、刚性需求、结合实际、量力而行
房价太贵啊！
<p>真的是悲哀啊？买房子买不起，政府卖地天价，说白了，是官商的的利益的瓜分的问题。当权不用，过期作废。</p>
<p>刚性需求+改善需求+投资需求+GDP需求，房价能降下来吗？</p>
<p>房价不可能降 还是期望涨工资啊</p>
<p>是人就要有房子住,不买房也要租房,房子贵了,房租一样上涨.</p>
<p>无论什么时候都有人要买房子的.</p>
<p>关键问题,现在除了高价的商品房以外,还有选择吗?</p>
<p>买不起就使用房贷,我也是80后,因为自己本事有限,一看到房子头就痛,不敢想买房子的事情</p>
<p>呵呵</p>
<p>我觉得这个不是钢性需求的问题，房价上涨应该是政府行为或者政治行为。</p>
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<p><span style="FONT-SIZE: 10.5pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New="New"Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New="New"Roman'; mso-bidi-font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New="New"Roman'; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN">首先是银行资金流动性过剩，</span><span style="FONT-SIZE: 10.5pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New="New"Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New="New"Roman'; mso-bidi-font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New="New"Roman'; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN">因为国家的</span><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10.5pt; FONT-FAMILY: 'Times New="New"Roman'; mso-bidi-font-size: 12.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New="New"Roman'; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN">4</span><span style="FONT-SIZE: 10.5pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New="New"Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New="New"Roman'; mso-bidi-font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New="New"Roman'; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN">万亿投资需要项目来投，</span><span style="FONT-SIZE: 10.5pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New="New"Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New="New"Roman'; mso-bidi-font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New="New"Roman'; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN">银行的钱现在很多，</span><span style="FONT-SIZE: 10.5pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New="New"Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New="New"Roman'; mso-bidi-font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New="New"Roman'; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN">但可靠的行业不多，</span><span style="FONT-SIZE: 10.5pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New="New"Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New="New"Roman'; mso-bidi-font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New="New"Roman'; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN">只有大型的基础设施来投，</span><span style="FONT-SIZE: 10.5pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New="New"Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New="New"Roman'; mso-bidi-font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New="New"Roman'; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN">就是所谓的“</span><span style="FONT-SIZE: 10.5pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New="New"Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New="New"Roman'; mso-bidi-font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New="New"Roman'; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN">铁</span><span style="FONT-SIZE: 10.5pt; FONT-FAMILY: 'Times New="New"Roman'; mso-bidi-font-size: 12.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New="New"Roman'; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN"> </span><span style="FONT-SIZE: 10.5pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New="New"Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New="New"Roman'; mso-bidi-font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New="New"Roman'; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN">公</span><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10.5pt; FONT-FAMILY: 'Times New="New"Roman'; mso-bidi-font-size: 12.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New="New"Roman'; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN"><span style="mso-spacerun: yes"> </span></span><span style="FONT-SIZE: 10.5pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New="New"Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New="New"Roman'; mso-bidi-font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New="New"Roman'; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN">机</span><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10.5pt; FONT-FAMILY: 'Times New="New"Roman'; mso-bidi-font-size: 12.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New="New"Roman'; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN"><span style="mso-spacerun: yes"> ” </span></span><span style="FONT-SIZE: 10.5pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New="New"Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New="New"Roman'; mso-bidi-font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New="New"Roman'; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN">地产因为特殊的杠杆效应，</span><span style="FONT-SIZE: 10.5pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New="New"Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New="New"Roman'; mso-bidi-font-size: 12.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New="New"Roman'; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN">使很多资金紧张的开发商也解决了这次的资金危机。</span></p>
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<p>另一方面，地方政府不希望地产疲软，因为地产销售疲软，土地拍卖就恼火，土地出让金就少。一般来说，地方的土地出让金是地方政府的大财源，所以今年地产行业的资本金率，国务院都规定下降了：以前是35%，现在是20%，就是解决资金紧张的问题。当时是怕银行不放贷，现在银行是钱太多了，贷不出去。贷款的问题解决了，修房子的有钱了，买房子的也有钱了，尽管都是借的，但是拉动这个行业红火起来，足够了。</p>
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<p>在中国社会这个大环境下，用供需关系这个简单的价值规律来讨论现实问题，很傻很天真。</p>
<p>谈房价,我无话可说.</p>
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<p>刚性需求一直存在，但是房价依然有下跌的时候啊~一直强调刚性需求好像没什么必要，难道去年就没有刚性需求？深圳房价不是照样跌的惨兮兮吗~</p>
房价只是会相对而言的下跌，开发商跟银行贷款，银行是国家的，国家怎么会不让房价跌！笑话！