wenjing223 发表于 2008-12-22 09:42:07

[原创]期货趋势单,周评(12月20日)

<p class="MsoNormal" style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt;"><span style="COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: ˎ̥; mso-hansi-font-family: ˎ̥;">沪铜:</span><span lang="EN-US" style="COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: ˎ̥; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="">902</font></span><span style="COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: ˎ̥; mso-hansi-font-family: ˎ̥;">合约在上周一度反弹至</span><span lang="EN-US" style="COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: ˎ̥; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="">25000</font></span><span style="COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: ˎ̥; mso-hansi-font-family: ˎ̥;">上方,但由于缺乏基本面的支持价格再度回落并创出新低。目前看来,</span><span lang="EN-US" style="COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: ˎ̥; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="">25000</font></span><span style="COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: ˎ̥; mso-hansi-font-family: ˎ̥;">依然是近期重要压力位。并不排除</span><span lang="EN-US" style="COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: ˎ̥; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="">902</font></span><span style="COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: ˎ̥; mso-hansi-font-family: ˎ̥;">下周试探</span><span lang="EN-US" style="COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: ˎ̥; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="">22000</font></span><span style="COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: ˎ̥; mso-hansi-font-family: ˎ̥;">价位支撑的可能。往年的一般规律,铜价会在春节前达到低点,节后逐渐走强,但在今年的市场情况下,节前就有出现小幅反弹的可能。因此建议读者不要过份看空,而是在支撑位轻仓做一些反弹行情。</span><span lang="EN-US" style="COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: ˎ̥; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt;"><br/></span><span style="COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: ˎ̥; mso-hansi-font-family: ˎ̥;">沪铝:</span><span lang="EN-US" style="COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: ˎ̥; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="">902</font></span><span style="COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: ˎ̥; mso-hansi-font-family: ˎ̥;">连续两周出现止跌迹象,这说明</span><span lang="EN-US" style="COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: ˎ̥; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="">10000</font></span><span style="COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: ˎ̥; mso-hansi-font-family: ˎ̥;">元价位是市场的</span><span lang="EN-US" style="COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: ˎ̥; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="">“</font></span><span style="COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: ˎ̥; mso-hansi-font-family: ˎ̥;">不能承受之轻</span><span lang="EN-US" style="COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: ˎ̥; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="">”</font></span><span style="COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: ˎ̥; mso-hansi-font-family: ˎ̥;">,无论美元指数下周如何变化,对于沪铝来说,跌破</span><span lang="EN-US" style="COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: ˎ̥; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="">10000</font></span><span style="COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: ˎ̥; mso-hansi-font-family: ˎ̥;">的可能性极小。因此建议读者对沪铝更多的采用低位多的思路。轻仓做一些反弹。并在价格不能有效跌破</span><span lang="EN-US" style="COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: ˎ̥; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="">10000</font></span><span style="COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: ˎ̥; mso-hansi-font-family: ˎ̥;">之前,就假设此地为阶段性底部。</span><span lang="EN-US" style="COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: ˎ̥; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt;"><br/></span><span style="COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: ˎ̥; mso-hansi-font-family: ˎ̥;">燃油:</span><span lang="EN-US" style="COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: ˎ̥; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="">903</font></span><span style="COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: ˎ̥; mso-hansi-font-family: ˎ̥;">在上周冲击</span><span lang="EN-US" style="COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: ˎ̥; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="">2600</font></span><span style="COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: ˎ̥; mso-hansi-font-family: ˎ̥;">压力未果后产生回调。收盘于</span><span lang="EN-US" style="COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: ˎ̥; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="">2500</font></span><span style="COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: ˎ̥; mso-hansi-font-family: ˎ̥;">下方。下周可能将再次试探</span><span lang="EN-US" style="COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: ˎ̥; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="">2500</font></span><span style="COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: ˎ̥; mso-hansi-font-family: ˎ̥;">的压力,不能突破即将在</span><span lang="EN-US" style="COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: ˎ̥; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="">2300----2500</font></span><span style="COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: ˎ̥; mso-hansi-font-family: ˎ̥;">间进行整理。我们对燃油的看法是保持低位介入多单。</span><span lang="EN-US" style="COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: ˎ̥; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt;"><p></p></span></p><p class="MsoNormal" style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt;"><span style="COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: ˎ̥; mso-hansi-font-family: ˎ̥;">黄金:</span><span lang="EN-US" style="COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: ˎ̥; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="">906</font></span><span style="COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: ˎ̥; mso-hansi-font-family: ˎ̥;">在避险资金的推动下,上周连续上涨,但价格最终没有触及</span><span lang="EN-US" style="COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: ˎ̥; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="">192</font></span><span style="COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: ˎ̥; mso-hansi-font-family: ˎ̥;">的压力位置,假如下周继续向上,不能破位</span><span lang="EN-US" style="COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: ˎ̥; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="">192</font></span><span style="COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: ˎ̥; mso-hansi-font-family: ˎ̥;">的话,就是我们沽空的良机。另外在</span><span lang="EN-US" style="COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: ˎ̥; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="">185</font></span><span style="COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: ˎ̥; mso-hansi-font-family: ˎ̥;">下方也可以谨慎沽空,以</span><span lang="EN-US" style="COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: ˎ̥; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="">185</font></span><span style="COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: ˎ̥; mso-hansi-font-family: ˎ̥;">止损。</span><span lang="EN-US" style="COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: ˎ̥; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt;"><br/></span><span style="COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: ˎ̥; mso-hansi-font-family: ˎ̥;">豆油:</span><span lang="EN-US" style="COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: ˎ̥; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="">905</font></span><span style="COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: ˎ̥; mso-hansi-font-family: ˎ̥;">本周微幅震荡,形成了一根小极阴线,并被压制在</span><span lang="EN-US" style="COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: ˎ̥; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="">5</font></span><span style="COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: ˎ̥; mso-hansi-font-family: ˎ̥;">周均线下方。从技术走势看,均线已由下跌逐渐走平,后市再次大幅下跌的可能不大,但可能会有较长时间的震荡筑底过程,短线建议低多为主,破位</span><span lang="EN-US" style="COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: ˎ̥; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="">5900</font></span><span style="COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: ˎ̥; mso-hansi-font-family: ˎ̥;">即可持仓过夜,短期目标关注</span><span lang="EN-US" style="COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: ˎ̥; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="">6100</font></span><span style="COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: ˎ̥; mso-hansi-font-family: ˎ̥;">一线的情况做进一步决定。</span><span lang="EN-US" style="COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: ˎ̥; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt;"><br/></span><span style="COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: ˎ̥; mso-hansi-font-family: ˎ̥;">白糖:</span><span lang="EN-US" style="COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: ˎ̥; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="">905</font></span><span style="COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: ˎ̥; mso-hansi-font-family: ˎ̥;">上周价格始终徘徊在</span><span lang="EN-US" style="COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: ˎ̥; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="">70</font></span><span style="COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: ˎ̥; mso-hansi-font-family: ˎ̥;">点的狭小区间内。但从技术走势还看不到反弹迹象,因此我们建议下周依然背靠</span><span lang="EN-US" style="COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: ˎ̥; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="">3080</font></span><span style="COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: ˎ̥; mso-hansi-font-family: ˎ̥;">沽空。站上</span><span lang="EN-US" style="COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: ˎ̥; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="">80</font></span><span style="COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: ˎ̥; mso-hansi-font-family: ˎ̥;">价位后则观望为主,谨慎对待反弹。</span><span lang="EN-US" style="COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: ˎ̥; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt;"><br/><font face="">PTA</font></span><span style="COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: ˎ̥; mso-hansi-font-family: ˎ̥;">:</span><span lang="EN-US" style="COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: ˎ̥; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="">TA905</font></span><span style="COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: ˎ̥; mso-hansi-font-family: ˎ̥;">本周属于强势反弹,下周</span><span lang="EN-US" style="COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: ˎ̥; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="">TA</font></span><span style="COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: ˎ̥; mso-hansi-font-family: ˎ̥;">有继续冲击</span><span lang="EN-US" style="COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: ˎ̥; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="">6300</font></span><span style="COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: ˎ̥; mso-hansi-font-family: ˎ̥;">价位的可能,过夜多单建议最后保护价</span><span lang="EN-US" style="COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: ˎ̥; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="">5520</font></span><span style="COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: ˎ̥; mso-hansi-font-family: ˎ̥;">,在此价位上方可以轻仓介入多单。如</span><span lang="EN-US" style="COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: ˎ̥; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="">TA</font></span><span style="COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: ˎ̥; mso-hansi-font-family: ˎ̥;">后市有冲击</span><span lang="EN-US" style="COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: ˎ̥; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="">6500</font></span><span style="COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: ˎ̥; mso-hansi-font-family: ˎ̥;">价位计划,则周初可能小幅回落,建议读者抓住机会在</span><span lang="EN-US" style="COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: ˎ̥; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="">5400</font></span><span style="COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: ˎ̥; mso-hansi-font-family: ˎ̥;">上方坚决做多。(</span><span lang="EN-US" style="COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: ˎ̥; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="">937576733</font></span><span style="COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: ˎ̥; mso-hansi-font-family: ˎ̥;">)</span></p>

sp820 发表于 2009-1-14 09:57:18

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