wenjing223 发表于 2008-12-8 10:26:22

[原创]部分期货合约,一周评价(12月8日)

<p class="MsoNormal" style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt;"><span style="COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: ˎ̥; mso-hansi-font-family: ˎ̥;">白糖:从一周技术走势看,糖依旧处于下跌趋势,建议读者下周在操作上维持高位沽空的思路。遇有反弹机会,假如价格自上而下跌破</span><span lang="EN-US" style="COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: ˎ̥; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="">3180</font></span><span style="COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: ˎ̥; mso-hansi-font-family: ˎ̥;">,就是沽空的最佳点位。具体操作则可以关注每日盘后分析。</span><span lang="EN-US" style="COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: ˎ̥; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt;"><p></p></span></p><p class="MsoNormal" style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt;"><span lang="EN-US" style="COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: ˎ̥; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt;"><p><font face="">&nbsp;</font></p></span></p><p class="MsoNormal" style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt;"><span style="COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: ˎ̥; mso-hansi-font-family: ˎ̥;">豆一:</span><span lang="EN-US" style="COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: ˎ̥; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="">905</font></span><span style="COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: ˎ̥; mso-hansi-font-family: ˎ̥;">已经破位下行,另外,大豆空头主力有在</span><span lang="EN-US" style="COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: ˎ̥; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="">909</font></span><span style="COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: ˎ̥; mso-hansi-font-family: ˎ̥;">合约建仓的迹象,也希望读者朋友予以关注,甚至可以操作</span><span lang="EN-US" style="COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: ˎ̥; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="">909</font></span><span style="COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: ˎ̥; mso-hansi-font-family: ˎ̥;">合约,笔者也将在下周同时对</span><span lang="EN-US" style="COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: ˎ̥; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="">905</font></span><span style="COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: ˎ̥; mso-hansi-font-family: ˎ̥;">、</span><span lang="EN-US" style="COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: ˎ̥; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="">909</font></span><span style="COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: ˎ̥; mso-hansi-font-family: ˎ̥;">两个合约进行分析。</span><span lang="EN-US" style="COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: ˎ̥; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt;"><br style="mso-special-character: line-break;"/><br style="mso-special-character: line-break;"/><p></p></span></p><p class="MsoNormal" style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt;"><span style="COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: ˎ̥; mso-hansi-font-family: ˎ̥;">豆粕:本周粕没有反弹,而是继续了下跌。鉴于粕的弱势,我们有理由相信假如下周跌破</span><span lang="EN-US" style="COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: ˎ̥; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="">2000</font></span><span style="COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: ˎ̥; mso-hansi-font-family: ˎ̥;">价位,我们将可能看到</span><span lang="EN-US" style="COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: ˎ̥; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="">1800</font></span><span style="COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: ˎ̥; mso-hansi-font-family: ˎ̥;">。因此建议读者利用粕的反弹机会沽空,而且只要设置较窄的止损位就可以。</span><span lang="EN-US" style="COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: ˎ̥; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt;"><br/></span><span style="COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: ˎ̥; mso-hansi-font-family: ˎ̥;">豆油:豆油我们在上周末曾看好反弹,但在周一的盘后分析中就及时改变了思路,提出假如</span><span lang="EN-US" style="COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: ˎ̥; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="">905</font></span><span style="COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: ˎ̥; mso-hansi-font-family: ˎ̥;">不能站稳</span><span lang="EN-US" style="COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: ˎ̥; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="">6350</font></span><span style="COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: ˎ̥; mso-hansi-font-family: ˎ̥;">即可沽空,并在后来的分析中进一步提出第一目标位</span><span lang="EN-US" style="COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: ˎ̥; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="">5800</font></span><span style="COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: ˎ̥; mso-hansi-font-family: ˎ̥;">的观点。建议读者继续高位沽空豆油,并在跌破</span><span lang="EN-US" style="COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: ˎ̥; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="">5500</font></span><span style="COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: ˎ̥; mso-hansi-font-family: ˎ̥;">时利用反弹机会加仓。</span><span lang="EN-US" style="COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: ˎ̥; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt;"><p></p></span></p><p class="MsoNormal" style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt;"><span lang="EN-US" style="COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: ˎ̥; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt;"><br/></span><span style="COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: ˎ̥; mso-hansi-font-family: ˎ̥;">玉米:玉米在周末下午的大幅跳水,实在出于笔者预料。我们预计玉米在</span><span lang="EN-US" style="COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: ˎ̥; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="">1500</font></span><span style="COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: ˎ̥; mso-hansi-font-family: ˎ̥;">会获得一定的支撑和反弹,然后才可能再次继续破位,鉴于目前的情况,我们建议读者谨慎沽空。</span><span lang="EN-US" style="COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: ˎ̥; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt;"><br style="mso-special-character: line-break;"/><br style="mso-special-character: line-break;"/><p></p></span></p><p class="MsoNormal" style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt;"><span lang="EN-US" style="COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: ˎ̥; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="">PTA</font></span><span style="COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: ˎ̥; mso-hansi-font-family: ˎ̥;">:</span><span lang="EN-US" style="COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: ˎ̥; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="">TA</font></span><span style="COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: ˎ̥; mso-hansi-font-family: ˎ̥;">我们从下周开始关注</span><span lang="EN-US" style="COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: ˎ̥; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="">905</font></span><span style="COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: ˎ̥; mso-hansi-font-family: ˎ̥;">合约。从日线上看,</span><span lang="EN-US" style="COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: ˎ̥; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="">TA905</font></span><span style="COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: ˎ̥; mso-hansi-font-family: ˎ̥;">有破位下行迹象,建议读者予以关注,空单以</span><span lang="EN-US" style="COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: ˎ̥; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="">4950</font></span><span style="COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: ˎ̥; mso-hansi-font-family: ˎ̥;">为止损。价格自上而下跌破</span><span lang="EN-US" style="COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: ˎ̥; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="">4950</font></span><span style="COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: ˎ̥; mso-hansi-font-family: ˎ̥;">,即可介入空单。第一目标</span><span lang="EN-US" style="COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: ˎ̥; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="">4500</font></span><span style="COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: ˎ̥; mso-hansi-font-family: ˎ̥;">下方。</span><span lang="EN-US" style="COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: ˎ̥; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt;"><br/><br/></span><span style="COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: ˎ̥; mso-hansi-font-family: ˎ̥;">沪铝:沪铝周五以跌停收盘,并接近了我们提出的</span><span lang="EN-US" style="COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: ˎ̥; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="">10000</font></span><span style="COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: ˎ̥; mso-hansi-font-family: ˎ̥;">元的目标位,建议周一关注</span><span lang="EN-US" style="COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: ˎ̥; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="">10000</font></span><span style="COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: ˎ̥; mso-hansi-font-family: ˎ̥;">价位的去留。前期按照提示在</span><span lang="EN-US" style="COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: ˎ̥; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="">14000</font></span><span style="COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: ˎ̥; mso-hansi-font-family: ˎ̥;">附近沽空的朋友可以在</span><span lang="EN-US" style="COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: ˎ̥; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="">10000</font></span><span style="COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: ˎ̥; mso-hansi-font-family: ˎ̥;">做阶段止赢或减持。</span><span lang="EN-US" style="COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: ˎ̥; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt;"><br style="mso-special-character: line-break;"/><br style="mso-special-character: line-break;"/><p></p></span></p><p class="MsoNormal" style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt;"><span style="COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: ˎ̥; mso-hansi-font-family: ˎ̥;">沪锌:锌在本周跌破前低后依然持续空头趋势,前期空单继续乐观持有,但注意保护。</span><span lang="EN-US" style="COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: ˎ̥; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="">8600</font></span><span style="COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: ˎ̥; mso-hansi-font-family: ˎ̥;">下方可以做为加仓点位。</span><span lang="EN-US" style="COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: ˎ̥; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt;"><br style="mso-special-character: line-break;"/><br style="mso-special-character: line-break;"/><p></p></span></p><p class="MsoNormal" style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt;"><span style="COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: ˎ̥; mso-hansi-font-family: ˎ̥;">橡胶:对橡胶进一步下跌的空间,我们确实看不到太远,建议谨慎沽空,目标</span><span lang="EN-US" style="COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: ˎ̥; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="">9000</font></span><span style="COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: ˎ̥; mso-hansi-font-family: ˎ̥;">,并时刻防备反弹出现。</span><span lang="EN-US" style="COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: ˎ̥; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt;"><br style="mso-special-character: line-break;"/><br style="mso-special-character: line-break;"/><p></p></span></p><p class="MsoNormal" style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt;"><span style="COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: ˎ̥; mso-hansi-font-family: ˎ̥;">燃油:燃油上周仍继续了震荡下行的技术走势,看来周线基本上均线压力依然明显,但从目前的趋势又看不出明显的下跌空间。所以我们建议读者周一观望,近期以日内短线操作为主。</span><span lang="EN-US" style="COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: ˎ̥; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="">2100</font></span><span style="COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: ˎ̥; mso-hansi-font-family: ˎ̥;">上方,依旧可以轻仓抢反弹。</span><span lang="EN-US" style="COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: ˎ̥; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt;"><br style="mso-special-character: line-break;"/><br style="mso-special-character: line-break;"/><p></p></span></p><p class="MsoNormal" style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt;"><span style="COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: ˎ̥; mso-hansi-font-family: ˎ̥;">黄金:上周黄金在周二跳空下跌后,再次进行横盘震荡,笔者建议,黄金依然可以在</span><span lang="EN-US" style="COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: ˎ̥; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="">170</font></span><span style="COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: ˎ̥; mso-hansi-font-family: ˎ̥;">下方沽空,并在跌破</span><span lang="EN-US" style="COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: ˎ̥; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="">160</font></span><span style="COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: ˎ̥; mso-hansi-font-family: ˎ̥;">后继续加仓,目标</span><span lang="EN-US" style="COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: ˎ̥; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="">140</font></span><span style="COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: ˎ̥; mso-hansi-font-family: ˎ̥;">。希望读者关注。(</span><span lang="EN-US" style="COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: ˎ̥; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt;"><font face="">937576733</font></span><span style="COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: ˎ̥; mso-hansi-font-family: ˎ̥;">)</span></p>
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