社科院:我国明年房价涨幅有望回落到5%以下
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; TEXT-INDENT: 45.2pt; mso-char-indent-count: 3.0"><B style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal"><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 15pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: ''; mso-hansi-font-family: ''">社科院</SPAN></B><B style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal"><SPAN lang=EN-US style="FONT-SIZE: 15pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: ">:</SPAN></B><B style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal"><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 15pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: ''; mso-hansi-font-family: ''">我国明年房价涨幅有望回落到</SPAN></B><B style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal"><SPAN lang=EN-US style="FONT-SIZE: 15pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: ">5%</SPAN></B><B style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal"><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 15pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: ''; mso-hansi-font-family: ''">以下</SPAN></B><B style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal"><SPAN lang=EN-US style="FONT-SIZE: 15pt; COLOR: black"><?xml:namespace prefix = o ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:office" /><o:p></o:p></SPAN></B></P><P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; TEXT-INDENT: 31.5pt; mso-char-indent-count: 3.0"><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt"><SPAN style="COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: ''; mso-hansi-font-family: ''">中国社科院今天发布的</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: ; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt">“2007</SPAN><SPAN style="COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: ''; mso-hansi-font-family: ''">房地产蓝皮书</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: ; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt">”</SPAN><SPAN style="COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: ''; mso-hansi-font-family: ''">指出，</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: ; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt">2006</SPAN><SPAN style="COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: ''; mso-hansi-font-family: ''">年虽然部分城市房价增长过快，但总体来看全国房屋销售价格涨幅回落，预计</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: ; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt">2007</SPAN><SPAN style="COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: ''; mso-hansi-font-family: ''">年房价能够把涨幅控制在</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: ; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt">5%</SPAN><SPAN style="COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: ''; mso-hansi-font-family: ''">以下。</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="COLOR: black; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt"><o:p></o:p></SPAN></SPAN></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 9pt 0cm; WORD-BREAK: break-all; LINE-HEIGHT: 180%; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-pagination: widow-orphan" align=left><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: black; LINE-HEIGHT: 180%; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体"> 近几年，国家针对房价增长过快的问题不断加强对房地产市场的控制，但效果一直不理想。<SPAN lang=EN-US>2005</SPAN>年国家先后出台了新老<SPAN lang=EN-US>“</SPAN>国八条<SPAN lang=EN-US>”</SPAN>，投机炒房活动有所收敛，购房者一段时间内持币待购，然而一段沉寂后，一些大中城市的房价迅速回升。进入<SPAN lang=EN-US>2006</SPAN>年，针对房价继续上涨的势头，国务院提出了包括调整住房供应结构、税收、信贷、土地、廉租房和经济适用房建设等内容的六条措施，<?xml:namespace prefix = st1 ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:smarttags" /><st1:chsdate w:st="on" Year="2007" Month="5" Day="29" IsLunarDate="False" IsROCDate="False"><SPAN lang=EN-US>5</SPAN>月<SPAN lang=EN-US>29</SPAN>日</st1:chsdate>国务院办公厅转发了建设部等<SPAN lang=EN-US>9</SPAN>部委《关于调整住房供应结构稳定住房价格的意见》，全国房价过快上涨的势头初步得到遏制，房价上涨连续两年超过城镇人均可支配收入上升幅度的状况得到了改变。但部分城市房价上涨依然过快，全国<SPAN lang=EN-US>70</SPAN>个城市的统计数据显示，<SPAN lang=EN-US>2006</SPAN>年<SPAN lang=EN-US>12</SPAN>月商品销售价格同比上涨<SPAN lang=EN-US>5.5%</SPAN>，新建商品住宅销售价格同比上涨<SPAN lang=EN-US>6.6%</SPAN>，其中，秦皇岛、北京、深圳等城市新建商品住房价格指数同比超过或接近<SPAN lang=EN-US>10%</SPAN>，福州、厦门、成都、广州也分别达到了<SPAN lang=EN-US>9.8%</SPAN>、<SPAN lang=EN-US>9.1%</SPAN>、<SPAN lang=EN-US>8.5%</SPAN>、<SPAN lang=EN-US>8.3%</SPAN>，深圳、大连、北京等<SPAN lang=EN-US>6</SPAN>个城市二手住房价格同比增幅超过<SPAN lang=EN-US>10%</SPAN>。<SPAN lang=EN-US> <o:p></o:p></SPAN></SPAN></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 9pt 0cm; WORD-BREAK: break-all; LINE-HEIGHT: 180%; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-pagination: widow-orphan" align=left><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: black; LINE-HEIGHT: 180%; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体"> <SPAN lang=EN-US>2006</SPAN>年中央经济工作会议上明确提出：<SPAN lang=EN-US>“</SPAN>明年国家在继续发挥房地产带动经济发展作用的同时，将抑制房地产投资过快增长和房价过快上涨<SPAN lang=EN-US>”</SPAN>。稳定房价仍然是<SPAN lang=EN-US>2007</SPAN>年宏观调控的一个基本面。房价政府能否得到控制是购房者最为关注的话题，也是宏观调控取得成效的标准。<SPAN lang=EN-US>2006</SPAN>年的强力调控对房价发挥了抑制作用。国家发改委和国家统计局的调查显示，全国<SPAN lang=EN-US>70</SPAN>个大中城市房价销售价格同比上涨<SPAN lang=EN-US>5.5%</SPAN>，同比下降了<SPAN lang=EN-US>2.1</SPAN>个百分点，但仍有少数城市房价增幅在两位数。房价持续上涨促进中央出台更具有针对性的抑制房价过快增长的政策。<SPAN lang=EN-US>2007</SPAN>年限价房、经济适用房等低价房较多的推向市场，可以部分平抑房价上涨；廉租房等保障性住房建设的增加将打破现有的楼市格局，对居民预期将产生影响；在高价房的影响下，经过几年快速释放，自住性住房需求将在<SPAN lang=EN-US>2007</SPAN>年有所减弱。综合以上因素，<SPAN lang=EN-US>2004</SPAN>年以来的较快的城市房价涨幅有可能持续下降，整体房价涨幅有望回落到<SPAN lang=EN-US>5%</SPAN>以下。<SPAN lang=EN-US> <o:p></o:p></SPAN></SPAN></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 9pt 0cm; WORD-BREAK: break-all; LINE-HEIGHT: 180%; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-pagination: widow-orphan" align=left><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: black; LINE-HEIGHT: 180%; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体"> <SPAN lang=EN-US>“2007</SPAN>房地产蓝皮书<SPAN lang=EN-US>”</SPAN>已由社科文献出版社出版发行<SPAN lang=EN-US><o:p></o:p></SPAN></SPAN></P>
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