kumuwuxin 发表于 2009-6-15 16:30:13

我看家园发展之“HR天地”版精华帖统计分析

<p><font size="2">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;说明:眼看家园氛围大不如从前,早就酝酿对家园的现状做个分析。只因本人懒惰,近日才下决心执笔。整个分析还没写完,现在只有个框架。先抛个砖头,希望能引出更多的整砖,有玉石当然最好。整文将不断补充和修改。</font></p>
<p><font size="2">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;因水平有限,如有不当之处,还望各位家人批评、指正。</font><font size="2">&nbsp;&nbsp;</font></p>
<p><font size="2">正文如下:<span style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times new=" ?Times mso-hansi-font-family: &nbsp;&nbsp;Roman?? new="New" New?&nbsp;&nbsp;Roman?;>&nbsp;</span></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="TEXT-INDENT: 21pt; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-char-indent-count: 2.0" align="left"><font size="2"><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times new=" ?Times mso-hansi-font-family: &nbsp;&nbsp;Roman?? new="New" New?&nbsp;&nbsp;Roman?;>根据</span><?xml:namespace prefix = st1 ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:smarttags" /><st1:chsdate w:st="on" isrocdate="False" islunardate="False" year="2009" &nbsp;&nbsp;day="12" m="M"><span lang="EN-US">2009</span><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times new=" ?Times mso-hansi-font-family: &nbsp;&nbsp;Roman?? new="New" New?&nbsp;&nbsp;Roman?;>年</span><span lang="EN-US">6</span><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times new=" ?Times mso-hansi-font-family: &nbsp;&nbsp;Roman?? new="New" New?&nbsp;&nbsp;Roman?;>月</span><span lang="EN-US">12</span><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times new=" ?Times mso-hansi-font-family: &nbsp;&nbsp;Roman?? new="New" New?&nbsp;&nbsp;Roman?;>日</span></st1:chsdate><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times new=" ?Times mso-hansi-font-family: &nbsp;&nbsp;Roman?? new="New" New?&nbsp;&nbsp;Roman?;>搜索,“</span><span lang="EN-US">HR</span><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times new=" ?Times mso-hansi-font-family: &nbsp;&nbsp;Roman?? new="New" New?&nbsp;&nbsp;Roman?;>天地”版精华帖总计</span><span lang="EN-US">306</span><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times new=" ?Times mso-hansi-font-family: &nbsp;&nbsp;Roman?? new="New" New?&nbsp;&nbsp;Roman?;>个,剔除无效搜索</span><span lang="EN-US">64</span><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times new=" ?Times mso-hansi-font-family: &nbsp;&nbsp;Roman?? new="New" New?&nbsp;&nbsp;Roman?;>个,实际有效搜索</span><span lang="EN-US">242</span><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times new=" ?Times mso-hansi-font-family: &nbsp;&nbsp;Roman?? new="New" New?&nbsp;&nbsp;Roman?;>个。无效搜索主要有两方面原因:一是重复显示结果,即同一精华帖多次计数;二是回复帖计入。</span></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="TEXT-INDENT: 21pt; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-char-indent-count: 2.0" align="left"><font size="2"><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times new=" ?Times mso-hansi-font-family: &nbsp;&nbsp;Roman?? new="New" New?&nbsp;&nbsp;Roman?;>&nbsp;根据对“</span><span lang="EN-US">HR</span><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times new=" ?Times mso-hansi-font-family: &nbsp;&nbsp;Roman?? new="New" New?&nbsp;&nbsp;Roman?;>天地”版</span><span lang="EN-US">242</span><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times new=" ?Times mso-hansi-font-family: &nbsp;&nbsp;Roman?? new="New" New?&nbsp;&nbsp;Roman?;>个有效搜索精华帖发帖时间的分析,精华帖发帖量变化的趋势大致可以反映家园发展的五个时期:第一个时期</span><span lang="EN-US">2003</span><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times new=" ?Times mso-hansi-font-family: &nbsp;&nbsp;Roman?? new="New" New?&nbsp;&nbsp;Roman?;>年一季度至</span><span lang="EN-US">2003</span><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times new=" ?Times mso-hansi-font-family: &nbsp;&nbsp;Roman?? new="New" New?&nbsp;&nbsp;Roman?;>年四季度的起步发展期;</span><span lang="EN-US">2004</span><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times new=" ?Times mso-hansi-font-family: &nbsp;&nbsp;Roman?? new="New" New?&nbsp;&nbsp;Roman?;>年一度至</span><span lang="EN-US">2005</span><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times new=" ?Times mso-hansi-font-family: &nbsp;&nbsp;Roman?? new="New" New?&nbsp;&nbsp;Roman?;>年四季度的维护发展期;</span><span lang="EN-US">2006</span><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times new=" ?Times mso-hansi-font-family: &nbsp;&nbsp;Roman?? new="New" New?&nbsp;&nbsp;Roman?;>年一季度至</span><span lang="EN-US">2006</span><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times new=" ?Times mso-hansi-font-family: &nbsp;&nbsp;Roman?? new="New" New?&nbsp;&nbsp;Roman?;>年四季度的高速发展期;</span><span lang="EN-US">2007</span><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times new=" ?Times mso-hansi-font-family: &nbsp;&nbsp;Roman?? new="New" New?&nbsp;&nbsp;Roman?;>年一季度至</span><span lang="EN-US">2008</span><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times new=" ?Times mso-hansi-font-family: &nbsp;&nbsp;Roman?? new="New" New?&nbsp;&nbsp;Roman?;>年四季度的调整转型期;</span><span lang="EN-US">2009</span><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times new=" ?Times mso-hansi-font-family: &nbsp;&nbsp;Roman?? new="New" New?&nbsp;&nbsp;Roman?;>年一季度至今的调整发展期。</span></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="TEXT-INDENT: 21pt; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-char-indent-count: 2.0" align="left"><font size="2"><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times new=" ?Times mso-hansi-font-family: &nbsp;&nbsp;Roman?? new="New" New?&nbsp;&nbsp;Roman?;>发帖量.jpg :<br/></span></font></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="TEXT-INDENT: 21pt; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-char-indent-count: 2.0" align="left"><font size="2"><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times new=" ?Times mso-hansi-font-family: &nbsp;&nbsp;Roman?? new="New" New?&nbsp;&nbsp;Roman?;>&nbsp;根据阿懒家人发布的《栖息谷会员人数变化情况随机统计》</span><span lang="EN-US"><a href="http://bbs.21manager.com/dispbbs-35780-1.html">http://bbs.21manager.com/dispbbs-35780-1.html</a></span><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times new=" ?Times mso-hansi-font-family: &nbsp;&nbsp;Roman?? new="New" New?&nbsp;&nbsp;Roman?;>的数据显示,基本趋势也基本相同:</span><span lang="EN-US">2006</span><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times new=" ?Times mso-hansi-font-family: &nbsp;&nbsp;Roman?? new="New" New?&nbsp;&nbsp;Roman?;>年一季度至</span><span lang="EN-US">2007</span><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times new=" ?Times mso-hansi-font-family: &nbsp;&nbsp;Roman?? new="New" New?&nbsp;&nbsp;Roman?;>年四季度家园会员人数呈现明显的高速增长趋势;自</span><span lang="EN-US">2008</span><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times new=" ?Times mso-hansi-font-family: &nbsp;&nbsp;Roman?? new="New" New?&nbsp;&nbsp;Roman?;>年一季度起至今,会员增长速度又开始回落。</span></font>&nbsp;</p>会员人数.jpg :<br/>
[此贴子已经被作者于2009-6-15 16:34:54编辑过]

thomasfang 发表于 2009-6-16 23:52:39

那个板块萧条了?
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