lhrhaha 发表于 2007-4-6 20:36:24

苏黎世投机定律(个人认为很经典,在这里推荐给大家)

<p class="MsoNormal" align="left" style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-pagination: widow-orphan;"><span style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: #666666; LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-hansi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;">【苏黎世投机定律】一词源自于瑞士证券及期货投机俱乐部,主要是一些从美国华尔街搜集而来的投机规则。内容教导投资人如何在投机的活动中获利致富。【苏黎世投机定律】就如同字面上所写的,其想法来自于瑞士这资源贫瘠的小国,但瑞士人却是世界上最富有的国民之一;主要的原因,就是瑞士人成功地扮演了世界上最聪明的投资家、投机家以及赌徒。瑞士人认清一个事实,人在世界上若要获得任何成就,就必须投入时间、金钱以及一切相关的事物,并且必须承受相当程度的风险,才有机会成功。而瑞士人根据其投机的经验,在经过谨慎及严谨的思考后下赌注,其获利往往大于损失,也使得这些投机的思维产生其价值以及实用性。本文主要就【苏黎世投机定律】的中心思维,阐释予投资人做参考。</span><span style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: #666666; LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; FONT-FAMILY: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;">
                        <span lang="EN-US"><p></p></span></span></p><div class="MsoNormal" align="center" style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; TEXT-ALIGN: center; mso-pagination: widow-orphan;"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: black; LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; FONT-FAMILY: PMingLiU; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;"><hr align="center" width="100%" size="2"/></span></div><p class="MsoNormal" align="left" style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-pagination: widow-orphan;"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: #666666; LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; FONT-FAMILY: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;">&nbsp;&nbsp; </span><span style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: #666666; LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-hansi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;">【</span><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: #666666; LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; FONT-FAMILY: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;">&nbsp; </span><span style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: #4a664d; LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-hansi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;">论风险</span><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: #666666; LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; FONT-FAMILY: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;">&nbsp; </span><span style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: #666666; LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-hansi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;">】</span><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: black; LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; FONT-FAMILY: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;</span><span style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: red; LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-hansi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;">忧虑并不是心理疾病,而是健康的征兆。如果你不担忧,那就表示你所冒的险不够。</span><span style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: red; LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; FONT-FAMILY: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;">
                        <span lang="EN-US"><p></p></span></span></p><p class="MsoNormal" align="left" style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-pagination: widow-orphan;"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: black; LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; FONT-FAMILY: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; </span></span><span style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: black; LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-hansi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;">如果一般上班族只是靠薪水过日子,然后将剩余的资金存入银行之中,不去从事任何投资理</span><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: black; LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; FONT-FAMILY: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;</span><span style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: black; LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-hansi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;">财的相关活动,想要致富恐怕是相当困难的;除非是当上高阶主管,薪水丰厚、公司配股才有可</span><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: black; LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; FONT-FAMILY: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;</span><span style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: black; LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-hansi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;">能,但这毕竟是少数,不然仅靠每月的薪资所得,扣除食衣住行日常开销,小孩子教育及养育的</span><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: black; LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; FONT-FAMILY: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;</span><span style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: black; LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-hansi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;">费用,恐怕是所剩无几。想想,如果遇上之前房地产价格狂飙的时候,脑筋动得不够快,手上没</span><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: black; LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; FONT-FAMILY: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;</span><span style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: black; LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-hansi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;">有房地产的,马上就成了财富被重分配的对象;而反过来视之,若是过度迷恋房地产不跌的神话</span><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: black; LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; FONT-FAMILY: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;">&nbsp;</span><span style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: black; LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-hansi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;">,在高价时贷款买进房子,到现在恐怕把房子卖了,银行贷款都无法偿还。</span><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;"><p></p></span></p><p class="MsoNormal" align="left" style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-pagination: widow-orphan;"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: black; LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; FONT-FAMILY: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; </span><span style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: black; LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-hansi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;">当然任何投资理财的活动都有其风险,报酬越高的,相对的风险就越大,只是若不投机则无</span><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: black; LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; FONT-FAMILY: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;</span><span style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: black; LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-hansi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;">致富的可能,而适度的从事投机活动,控制风险,则将有机会致富;不然,到退休时还可能为退</span><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: black; LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; FONT-FAMILY: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;</span><span style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: black; LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-hansi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;">休金不足以支付日常所需而烦恼。虽然从事投机活动会让人产生一定程度的焦虑不安,但焦虑的</span><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: black; LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; FONT-FAMILY: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;</span><span style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: black; LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-hansi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;">情绪可让你提高警觉,努力学习相关的专业技能,对资金的运作来说,其实是相当有利的,而这</span><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: black; LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; FONT-FAMILY: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;">&nbsp;</span><span style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: black; LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-hansi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;">总比一天到晚担心薪水不足以应付生活所需来得好吧。而在投机的过程中,有些事情是必须特别</span><span style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: #666666; LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; FONT-FAMILY: PMingLiU; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;">
                        <span lang="EN-US"><p></p></span></span></p><p><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA;">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;</span><span style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-hansi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA;">留意的,首先是只下你负担得起损失的赌注,也就是说,必须做好资金控管,即使失败了,也不</span><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA;">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;</span><span style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-hansi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA;">至于影响到自身生活以及财务状况,例如以闲置资金的五成投入股票市场,即使全赔光了,对财务状况影响不大。另外,则是不要过度的分散风险,稍微的分散风险伤害不会太大,但如果过度分散风险,一方面会将投机的效果大打折扣,另一方面也会因投机的标的过多,反而可能出现顾</span><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA;">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;</span><span style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-hansi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA;">此失彼的现象,得不偿失。</span><span style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: #666666; FONT-FAMILY: PMingLiU; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA;">
                </span></p>

lhrhaha 发表于 2007-4-6 20:36:41

<p class="MsoNormal" align="left" style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-pagination: widow-orphan;"><span style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: black; LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; FONT-FAMILY: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;"><span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">&nbsp;</span></span><span style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: black; LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-hansi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;">【</span><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: black; LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; FONT-FAMILY: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;">&nbsp; </span><span style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: black; LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-hansi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;">论贪婪</span><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: black; LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; FONT-FAMILY: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;">&nbsp; </span><span style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: black; LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-hansi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;">】</span><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: black; LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; FONT-FAMILY: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;</span><span style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: #ff0033; LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-hansi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;">尽早获利了结。</span><span style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: #666666; LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; FONT-FAMILY: PMingLiU; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;">
                        <span lang="EN-US"><p></p></span></span></p><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA;">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; </span></span><span style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-hansi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA;">一般的赌客或投资人往往都犯了流连忘返的毛病,留在赌场太久而把原先赚的钱在不知不觉</span><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA;">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;</span><span style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-hansi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA;">中输掉;之所以会如此,主要是因为大家都犯了过度贪婪的毛病,只要减少贪婪,你将有许多获利的机会。投资人不妨仔细想想,在以往投资的过程中是否曾赚了相当多的钱,但因为贪心而让</span><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA;">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;</span><span style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-hansi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA;">获利一点一滴的消失,最后甚至还出现亏损的现象。事后想想,其实只要不这么的贪心,长期下来累积的报酬是相当可观的。更何况一般人的运气并不是一直都那么的好,必须在好运当头时见好就收,也就是说,不要过度靠运气,或是像瑞士人所说的,不要过度压榨你的运气。至于在卖</span><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA;">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;</span><span style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-hansi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA;">掉股票后,若股票持续上涨,也不必太懊悔,这是相当正常的,重要的是将获利落袋为安,若长期保持一定的投资报酬率,经过复利翻滚后,财富增加的速度将会远超出你的预期。</span><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: PMingLiU; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA;"><br style="mso-special-character: line-break;"/><br style="mso-special-character: line-break;"/></span>

lhrhaha 发表于 2007-4-6 20:36:56

<p class="MsoNormal" align="left" style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-pagination: widow-orphan;"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: black; LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; FONT-FAMILY: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;">&nbsp;</span><span style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: black; LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-hansi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;">【</span><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: black; LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; FONT-FAMILY: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;">&nbsp; </span><span style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: black; LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-hansi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;">论希望</span><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: black; LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; FONT-FAMILY: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;">&nbsp; </span><span style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: black; LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-hansi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;">】</span><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: black; LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; FONT-FAMILY: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;</span><span style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: #ff0066; LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-hansi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;">船开始下沉时,不要祷告,赶快脱身。</span><span style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: #666666; LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; FONT-FAMILY: PMingLiU; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;">
                        <span lang="EN-US"><p></p></span></span></p><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA;">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; </span></span><span style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-hansi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA;">前一个定律曾告诉过你,当事情顺利时该怎么办,但这个定律则告诉你,当情况不如预期时,如何拯救自己。这个定律说明了停损的重要性,若是发现走势对自己的部位相当不利时,千万不要期待会出现对自己有利的情形,应当机立断,先停损出场再说,不然可能会出现亏损日益扩</span><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA;">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;</span><span style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-hansi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA;">大,甚至危及本身财务状况的现象。当然人性中可能有怕后悔、不愿放弃投资所得以及难以承认</span><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA;">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;</span><span style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-hansi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA;">自己错误的障碍,而干扰到你下达停损动作的决心,不过你必须加以克服,因为一旦将本钱亏光</span><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA;">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;</span><span style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-hansi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA;">,想再翻身是相当困难的。宁可欣然接受小损失,然后把握一次好机会东山再起,也不要一次亏</span><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA;">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;</span><span style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-hansi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA;">光,而无再扳回的机会。所以,在当情势发展对你不利的时候,不要期待、不要祷告、不要怀疑</span><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA;">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;</span><span style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-hansi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA;">。期待和祷告不是坏事,但是它们对投机活动于事无捕。</span><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: PMingLiU; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA;"><br style="mso-special-character: line-break;"/><br style="mso-special-character: line-break;"/></span>

lhrhaha 发表于 2007-4-6 20:37:10

<p class="MsoNormal" align="left" style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-pagination: widow-orphan;"><span style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: black; LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-hansi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;">【</span><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: black; LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; FONT-FAMILY: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;">&nbsp; </span><span style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: black; LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-hansi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;">论预测</span><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: black; LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; FONT-FAMILY: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;">&nbsp; </span><span style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: black; LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-hansi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;">】</span><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: black; LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; FONT-FAMILY: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;</span><span style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: #ff0033; LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-hansi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;">人类的行为根本无法预测,不要相信任何未卜先知。</span><span style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: #666666; LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; FONT-FAMILY: PMingLiU; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;">
                        <span lang="EN-US"><p></p></span></span></p><p class="MsoNormal" align="left" style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-pagination: widow-orphan;"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: black; LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; FONT-FAMILY: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; </span></span><span style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: black; LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-hansi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;">我们常看到经济学家或是产业分析师不断地在修正预测值,虽然他们掌握相当丰富的信息并且俱备相当强的专业技能,不过对于预测人类社会的经济行为,还是无能为力的。所以,千万不</span><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: black; LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; FONT-FAMILY: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;</span><span style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: black; LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-hansi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;">要靠预测来做投机行为,否则很容易让你损失惨重;就好像年初时,一大堆分析师看好今年行情</span><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: black; LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; FONT-FAMILY: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;">&nbsp;</span><span style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: black; LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-hansi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;">,结果常常是跌破大家眼镜一样。所以,成功的投机行为并不是根据将发生的事件采取行动,而是只对已经发生的事件采取因应行动。</span><span style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: black; LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; FONT-FAMILY: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;">
                        <span lang="EN-US"><p></p></span></span></p><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA;">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">&nbsp; </span></span><span style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-hansi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA;">千万不要相信任何的预言,如果是如此的准,预言家早就成为世界的首富了,哪会轮到你来</span><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA;">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;</span><span style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-hansi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA;">发财,不是吗?当然在从事投机行为时必须计划,并包含自己的一些预测,但这些预测是基于细</span><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA;">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;</span><span style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-hansi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA;">心的研究以及谨慎的思考得来。如果后来的发展符合你的预测,那就继续持股续抱,不然就快一点停损出场。</span>

lhrhaha 发表于 2007-4-6 20:37:24

<p class="MsoNormal" align="left" style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-pagination: widow-orphan;"><span style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: black; LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-hansi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;">【</span><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: black; LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; FONT-FAMILY: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;">&nbsp; </span><span style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: black; LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-hansi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;">论条理</span><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: black; LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; FONT-FAMILY: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;">&nbsp; </span><span style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: black; LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-hansi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;">】</span><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: black; LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; FONT-FAMILY: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;</span><span style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: red; LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-hansi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;">出现条理之前的混乱并不危险。</span><span style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: #666666; LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; FONT-FAMILY: PMingLiU; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;">
                        <span lang="EN-US"><p></p></span></span></p><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA;">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; </span></span><span style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-hansi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA;">人性通常喜爱规律,不喜爱混乱。不过在从事投机活动时,若让你感觉到一个有条理、有规</span><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA;">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;</span><span style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-hansi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA;">律的世界时,通常你已经处于危险之中了,就好像在股市高档时,股价轮涨的规律性令人着迷一</span><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA;">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;</span><span style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-hansi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA;">样。这样来说好了,今年让你致富的规律,在明年不一定适用,天底下没有一成不变的致富公式</span><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA;">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;</span><span style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-hansi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA;">,通常有规律或公式可循是因为运气好,而在【苏黎世投机定律】中也是认为如此,在定律中不单单承认有运气的成份存在,并且认定运气在投机行为的成败中扮演重要的因素。既然人们喜爱规律,因此在投机时有几个陷阱是必须特别加以留意的,这包含了:历史会重演的心理障碍、图表分析的幻觉、轻易论断因果关系以及赌徒的荒谬心理。特定事件发生后,股价所产生相对应的变化,在每次可能都不尽相同,也就是说,历史不一定会重演,因为时空环境的不同,所牵涉到的因果关系并不相同,若是做同样的推论是相当危险的。而图表分析也是有相同的现象,所以尽信线不如无线,图表的分析同样有其局限性。而在观察一些现象之后,就轻易论断因果关系,会导致误判的结果,凡事必须小心加以求证,否则依照简单的规则行事,恐怕会蒙受损失。至于赌徒的荒谬心理,则是一种条理式的幻想,赌徒所看到的是内心世界的条理,就好像是认定今天自己运气很好,买股票一定会赚钱一样,这是相当荒谬的事,但偏有人是如此投机,下场也就可想而知了。</span>

lhrhaha 发表于 2007-4-6 20:37:37

<p class="MsoNormal" align="left" style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-pagination: widow-orphan;"><span style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: black; LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-hansi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;">【</span><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: black; LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; FONT-FAMILY: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;">&nbsp; </span><span style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: black; LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-hansi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;">论灵活</span><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: black; LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; FONT-FAMILY: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;">&nbsp; </span><span style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: black; LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-hansi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;">】</span><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: black; LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; FONT-FAMILY: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;</span><span style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: #ff0033; LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-hansi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;">避免扎根,它妨碍灵活性。</span><span style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: #666666; LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; FONT-FAMILY: PMingLiU; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;">
                        <span lang="EN-US"><p></p></span></span></p><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA;">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;</span><span style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-hansi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA;">金融市场的变化相当快速,产业的变化也是相同的,而在信息取得以及技术创新越来越快速的时代,更加速了产业变化的脚步;所以,千万不要因为意气用事或念旧而驻足于已经没有任何希望的投资活动上,此时如果有更吸引人的机会横在前面,要毫不迟疑地跳脱原来的樊笼,是此定律的最主要的用意。就好像电子业大好时,应把握住此高成长的良机,而一旦基本面出现疑虑时,就不应继续持有,快速出脱持股,再寻找另一个投机的机会方是上策。</span>

lhrhaha 发表于 2007-4-6 20:37:49

<p class="MsoNormal" align="left" style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-pagination: widow-orphan;"><span style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: black; LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-hansi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;">【</span><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: black; LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; FONT-FAMILY: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;">&nbsp; </span><span style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: #4a664d; LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-hansi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;">论直觉</span><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: black; LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; FONT-FAMILY: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;">&nbsp; </span><span style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: black; LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-hansi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;">】</span><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: black; LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; FONT-FAMILY: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;</span><span style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: red; LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-hansi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;">可以解释的预感或是直觉是值得信赖的。</span><span style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: black; LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; FONT-FAMILY: PMingLiU; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;">
                        <span lang="EN-US"><p></p></span></span></p><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA;">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<br/><span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">&nbsp;&nbsp; </span></span><span style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-hansi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA;">人类脑中的活动是相当微妙的,有时灵光一闪的预感,在事后往往得到验证,这在辛勤工作的学者或是企业主身上,是相当常见的现象,主要是因为他们在平常就已经大量吸收相关的信息,并且长时间不断地思考,因此脑中是不断地消化以及思索这些讯息,而在不知不觉中产生一些预感与直觉;这些预感与直觉在事后验证的准确率相当高,并且都可以得到合理的解释。而在投机的操作上也是如此,因为不断吸收相关信息的结果,大脑会在无预警的情况下提供警讯,即所谓的预感或直觉,此时你大可不必置之不理,可仔细地探索为何会产生此直觉,若能提出合理的解释,就照着做,因为这可是你辛苦思考所得来的结果。但绝对不要把希望和预感混为一谈,所考虑的事必须是有根据的,而不是一厢情愿的想法,否则将让自己陷入危险的境地。</span><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: PMingLiU; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA;"><br style="mso-special-character: line-break;"/><br style="mso-special-character: line-break;"/></span>

lhrhaha 发表于 2007-4-6 20:38:00

<p class="MsoNormal" align="left" style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-pagination: widow-orphan;"><span style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: black; LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-hansi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;">【</span><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: black; LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; FONT-FAMILY: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;">&nbsp; </span><span style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: black; LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-hansi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;">论神秘主义</span><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: black; LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; FONT-FAMILY: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;">&nbsp; </span><span style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: black; LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-hansi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;">】</span><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: black; LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; FONT-FAMILY: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;</span><span style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: red; LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-hansi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;">上帝创造世界的计划中,未必包括使你发财。</span><span style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: black; LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; FONT-FAMILY: PMingLiU; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;">
                        <span lang="EN-US"><p></p></span></span></p><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA;">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; </span><span style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-hansi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA;">想要在金融市场里赚钱是相当困难的,毕竟嬴家是少数,大多数人常常是以赔钱出场,而一些人在沮丧之余,就求助于神明、算命师等,希望藉此来获利。不过讽刺的是,占星术要是灵验的话,占星学家老早都发了,哪里会轮得到你。所以在投机的过程中,实不宜过度迷信,迷信对你而言并无实质上的帮助,反而会诱导你进入一个无烦恼的状态,这种情况对投机家来说,是相当不利的。在处理钱财时,你必须完全靠自己,依靠自己的理智。</span><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: PMingLiU; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA;"><br style="mso-special-character: line-break;"/><br style="mso-special-character: line-break;"/></span>

lhrhaha 发表于 2007-4-6 20:38:21

<p class="MsoNormal" align="left" style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-pagination: widow-orphan;"><span style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: black; LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; FONT-FAMILY: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;"><span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">&nbsp;</span></span><span style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: black; LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-hansi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;">【</span><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: black; LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; FONT-FAMILY: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;">&nbsp; </span><span style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: black; LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-hansi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;">论乐观与悲观</span><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: black; LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; FONT-FAMILY: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;">&nbsp; </span><span style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: black; LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-hansi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;">】</span><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: black; LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; FONT-FAMILY: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; </span><span style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: #ff0033; LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-hansi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;">预期最佳情况会发生就是乐观,信心则是知道如何处理最坏的状况。绝不要因为乐观而采取投机活动。</span><span style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: black; LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; FONT-FAMILY: PMingLiU; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;">
                        <span lang="EN-US"><p></p></span></span></p><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA;">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; </span></span><span style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-hansi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA;">在从事投机活动时,自信心是必备的,但不宜出现过度乐观的情绪,因为它可能是一种相当危险的心理状态。乐观可能是投机者最大的敌人,它使人有快感,因此它是危险的,它会使一般人的判断陷入模糊的状态,它可能将你带入险境而不显示出路,即使有出路,乐观也可能影响你运用它。所以,切记千万不要因为乐观而进场,必须要经过仔细的思考以及冷静的判断后,拟定好计划后再进场,并且要能在最坏的状况下,知道如何因应,这样在操作时你将会更有信心,也不会因为乐观所产生的亢奋情绪而坏事。</span><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: PMingLiU; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA;"><br style="mso-special-character: line-break;"/><br style="mso-special-character: line-break;"/></span>

lhrhaha 发表于 2007-4-6 20:38:32

<p class="MsoNormal" align="left" style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-pagination: widow-orphan;"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: black; LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; FONT-FAMILY: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;">&nbsp;</span><span style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: black; LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-hansi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;">【</span><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: black; LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; FONT-FAMILY: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;">&nbsp; </span><span style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: black; LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-hansi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;">论群众</span><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: black; LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; FONT-FAMILY: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;">&nbsp; </span><span style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: black; LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-hansi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;">】</span><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: black; LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; FONT-FAMILY: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;</span><span style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: red; LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-hansi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;">藐视大多数人的意见,因为它可能是错误的。</span><span style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: black; LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; FONT-FAMILY: PMingLiU; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;">
                        <span lang="EN-US"><p></p></span></span></p><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: PMingLiU; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA;">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">&nbsp; </span></span><span style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-hansi-font-family: PMingLiU; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA;">不要追逐风潮,没人进场的时候,往往就是捡便宜买进的好时机。要抗拒市场上大多数人的意见,是要承受相当大的压力,但有趣的是,通常大多数人的意见往往是错误的,所以在市场全面看好时出脱持股,而在市场悲观气氛浓厚时买进股票的人,往往是可以获利的。不过此定律的重点并不是一定要反市场操作,而是要告诉你,必须培养独立判断的精神,不要受他人的意见左右,对于市场上多数人的想法要存在一种敏锐的认知。</span><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: PMingLiU; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA;"><br style="mso-special-character: line-break;"/><br style="mso-special-character: line-break;"/></span>
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查看完整版本: 苏黎世投机定律(个人认为很经典,在这里推荐给大家)